Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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World – Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2022? ( 30% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-26; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by amadeu on 2022-05-26.
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CDC official count of at least one million official covid deaths in the US by October 1, 2022. ( 85% confidence; 26 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-01-14; known on 2022-10-02; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2022-05-26.
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Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev will remain in power as of May 15, 2022. ( 71% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Luke on 2022-01-11; known on 2022-05-15; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-05-26.
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Politics, US – Carrick Flynn wins the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th District ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-16; known on 2022-05-18; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-05-26.
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User Tapetum-Lucidum reveals themself to be user AgentOrange by judging this prediction right ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-08; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-05-26.
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2205034201 sán lá gan?? Bạch cầu ưa acid 50% ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-20; known on 2022-06-03; judged right by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25.
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2205036197 NGUYỄN THỊ THÚY Kí sinh trùng áp xe gan? ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-20; known on 2022-06-03; judged right by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25.
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By 2022, autonomous drones will have been used by a government agency to kill someone. ( 53% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by gwern on 2012-08-04; known on 2022-08-04; judged right by atzeje on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 5: True ( 60% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 4: True ( 70% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 3: True ( 55% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 2: True ( 40% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged wrong by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 1: True ( 50% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Phùng Văn Vượng 31 Lymphoma/ Bệnh tủy tạo máu Leukemia ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-23; known on 2021-08-13; judged right by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Lê Thị Dung 34 67364 GCT with multiple aneurysms ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-25; known on 2021-08-08; judged right by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Mai Anh Tú 44 56931 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-25; known on 2021-08-15; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Cầm Văn Truyền 17 PA hố sau: 70% ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-29; known on 2021-08-19; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Vũ Thị Tăng 66 Meningioma at right cerebellapontine angle ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-29; known on 2021-08-19; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Trịnh văn ngọc 25 2100074420 Multifocal GBM Anh Khuyên: glioma/ TS ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-30; known on 2021-08-20; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Nguyễn Thị Hoa 68 Chordoma ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-31; known on 2021-08-03; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Cao Xuân Hòa 34 U não ngấm thuốc viền, trung tâm dịch, tăng sinh mạch mạnh. GBM ( 80% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-03; known on 2021-08-24; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Phạm Duy Luận 56 Neuroenteric Cyst https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214751920304138 ( 90% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-03; known on 2021-08-24; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Ngô Đăng Khoa 66 u túi mật xâm lấn gan ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-06; known on 2021-08-27; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Trần thị huê 39 Adenoma ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-09; known on 2021-08-30; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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trần thị thảo 41 Lao hay di căn đơn ổ lao 60% di căn 10% khác? ( 50% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-12; known on 2021-08-26; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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nguyễn văn sơn 48 76 059 astrocytoma tủy ( 80% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-12; known on 2021-08-26; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Trần Đình Thoàn 30 Ependymoma or oligodendroglioma ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-12; known on 2021-09-02; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Nguyễn đăng cảnh 80 Chondrosarcoma ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-13; known on 2021-09-03; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Phạm thị xuân thu 46 tvdd di trú ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-13; known on 2021-09-03; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Trần xuân nam 17 Rò dnt xoang sàng trước ( 80% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-13; known on 2021-09-03; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Đặng quốc đại 81 U đồi thị Gbm or glioma ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-16; known on 2021-08-23; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Phan anh trường ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-24; known on 2021-08-26; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Đặng Thị Nguyệt 44 U nang thân tụy thông với ống tụy IPMN ( 60% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-17; known on 2021-08-31; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Nguyen Luong Nhat Anh 15 glioma doi thi ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-24; known on 2021-08-26; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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LƯỜNG THỊ SƯƠNG / VDUH^2100079613 Hỉnh ảnh tổn thương chóp tủy như mô tả nghĩ đến nghĩ đến tổn thương viêm, đề nghị theo dõi và đánh giá lại sau đợt điều trị. ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-08; known on 2021-09-22; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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VŨ THỊ MÙI / VDUH^2100079601 ( 30% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-08; known on 2021-09-15; judged right by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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BẾ ANH KHÔI / VDUH^2100079603 Hình ảnh u não thất bên bên trái lan – não thất ba gây giãn lớn não thất trên lều, nghĩ tới central neurocytoma. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-08; known on 2021-09-22; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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TRỊNH MAI TẠO / VDUH^2100079782 high grade glioma ( 60% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-08; known on 2021-09-22; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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TRỊNH VĂN TUYÊN / VDUH^2100079710 Hình ảnh u trung thất sau bên phải ngang mức T2-T3 như mô tả nghĩ tới schwannoma. ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-08; known on 2021-09-22; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-08; known on 2021-09-22; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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HAN VAN DUC 41T / 2100079494 Hình ảnh u lớn thận trái chảy máu theo dõi RCC (T2N0Mx). ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-08; known on 2021-09-22; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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VŨ HÀ MY / VDUH^2100080889 Hình ảnh khối lớn tiểu khung giàu mạch theo dõi u buồng trứng. Ít dịch tự do ổ bụng. ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-15; known on 2021-09-29; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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NGUYỄN VĂN LAM / VDUH^2100080869 nang mạc treo ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-15; known on 2021-09-29; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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VŨ THỊ NGỌC ANH / VDUH^2100081073 HCC/ ko xơ gan AFP > 3000 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-15; known on 2021-09-29; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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NGÔ QUANG VINH / VDUH^2100080255 u màng não Meckel xoang hang trái ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-16; known on 2021-09-30; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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NGUYỄN THỊ HÀ / VDUH^2100081160 High grade oligo ( 80% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-16; known on 2021-09-30; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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TRỊNH ĐĂNG DỤ / VDUH^2100080572 u trực tràng cao T2N0Mx ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-16; known on 2021-09-30; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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bùi thị hồng 66 u gan phải/ xơ gan/ thứ phát ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-16; known on 2021-09-30; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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PHẠM NHỊ HÀ / VDUH^2100081233 Lạc NMTC ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-16; known on 2021-09-30; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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VŨ THÀNH BỐN / VDUH^2100081249 HB ( 60% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-16; known on 2021-09-30; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.