Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 33% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 15 |
Displaying all predictions made by danpop. Filter by:
-
We will go to war with North Korea ( 17% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Gibs on 2017-11-12; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by futurulus on 2018-07-01.
-
ARCA Space will fail to reach its goal of a flight in 2018. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Athrithalix on 2017-11-02; known on 2018-12-31; judged right by Athrithalix on 2019-02-22.
-
GDP growth in china >6.6% in 2016 ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-06-15; known on 2017-04-01; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-01.
-
The cure rate for persons diagnosed with mild/early Alzheimer's disease will exceed 20% ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2016-05-27; known on 2027-01-01.
-
Nokia will no longer make phones for any market by start of 2020 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2016-04-29; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Paul.David.Carr on 2020-01-01.
-
Twitter will continue to exist without having been acquired through 2020-01-01. ( 56% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by bitbatbot on 2016-04-09; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.
-
Iraqi government will retake Mosul from Islamic State this year. ( 69% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-27; known on 2016-12-16; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-12-26.
-
Tablet market continues to decline for at least 2 of the next 4 fiscal quarters. ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jesselevine on 2016-03-25; known on 2017-03-25.
-
By 2025, China's yuan will be backed by gold. ( 9% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by danpop on 2016-03-11; known on 2025-01-01.
-
North Korea’s government will survive the year 2016 without large civil war/revolt. ( 91% confidence; 12 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Temeraire on 2016-02-13; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-01-01.
-
Bharat Biotech will develop the first Zika vaccine by 2018. ( 55% confidence; 5 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-13; known on 2018-12-25; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-27.
-
By 2030, Taiwan will be a part of China, without being a war. ( 15% confidence; 10 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by danpop on 2016-02-11; known on 2030-01-01.
-
Bharat will meet or exceed the Copenhagen pledge to reduce the emissions intensity of GDP by 20–25% in 2020 compared to 2005 levels. ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-04; known on 2021-12-25.
-
2016 North Korea’s government will survive the year without large civil war/revolt. ( 88% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-01-26; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2017-01-01.
-
Chinese economy will be larger than the US in the future. After that, India is the next best candidate that could surpass US economy in the next 25 years. After that China and India could be competing for number one — Masoyoshi Son, Softbank ( 60% confidence; 6 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-17; known on 2040-06-24.
-
Price of oil above $20 by the end of this year. http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=price+of+oil ( 87% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16; known on 2017-01-16; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-01-02.
-
The Chinese economy will completely collapse by 2017. ( 7% confidence; 20 wagers; 20 comments )
Created by chinawillfall on 2016-01-13; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-01-01.
-
Oman Crude will trade at an average price of below $30 for the first 6 months of 2016. ( 41% confidence; 5 wagers; 14 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-08; known on 2016-07-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-02.
-
In five years, 80% of the smartphones worldwide will come from Chinese companies or Chinese acquired companies. ( 32% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by danpop on 2015-11-06; known on 2020-11-06; judged wrong by avi on 2020-11-07.
-
By the end of 2020, the obesity rate among adults 20 years or older in the United States will drop from 34.9% in 2012 to 30%… +/- .9 percent. ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Lissy on 2015-11-04; known on 2020-12-31.
-
The Schengen Agreement will be terminated within 5 years. ( 26% confidence; 15 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by danpop on 2015-08-29; known on 2018-08-29; judged wrong by sdr on 2018-08-29.