Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by skuthus. Filter by:
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[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Pete Buttigieg to be] 21 to 30 ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-08-21; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-05-18.
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Pete Buttigieg will win the democratic primary ( 17% confidence; 18 wagers )
Created by skuthus on 2019-11-27; known on 2020-06-16; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-17.
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Vice President Mike Pence to make any public comment regarding the impeachment hearings ( 10% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-11-18; known on 2019-12-01; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-12-11.
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President Trump will win the 2020 Election. ( 54% confidence; 14 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by meganwhalen20 on 2019-11-11; known on 2020-11-16; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-08.
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Rick Perry to testify publicly before a committee in Congress as part of impeachment inquiry ( 72% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-10-10; known on 2020-11-20; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-02-04.
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[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Pete Buttigieg ( 17% confidence; 11 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-09-08.