Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by ZGreyArea. Filter by:
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The Hobbit 2 (Desolation of Smaug) will score at least an 8 on imdb on December 15th. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ZGreyArea on 2013-12-05; known on 2013-12-15; judged right by ZGreyArea on 2013-12-15.
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I will find a suitable Hobbit costume at the op-shop on Sunday ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by ZGreyArea on 2013-12-05; known on 2013-12-08; judged right by ZGreyArea on 2013-12-09.
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I will need new glasses at my appointment ( 60% confidence )
Created by ZGreyArea on 2013-12-05; known on 2013-12-06; judged wrong by ZGreyArea on 2013-12-06.
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I will get all A-range (A-, A or A+) grades this semester ( 75% confidence )
Created by ZGreyArea on 2013-12-04; known on 2013-12-06; judged right by ZGreyArea on 2013-12-06.
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The 2013 Less Wrong Survey will show more than 60% of the participants to be men. ( 94% confidence; 31 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Mathias Zaman on 2013-12-01; known on 2014-01-31; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-01-19.