Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Displaying all predictions made by gav. Filter by:
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Kamala Harris to be US President by the end of 2021. ( 6% confidence; 12 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-11-08; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2022-01-02.
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The Sun will rise on 1 January 2021 ( 100% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sjy on 2020-11-02; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by Baeboo on 2021-01-01.
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COVID, UK – Deaths attributed to COVID exceed 1000 for some day in November. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2020-10-31; known on 2020-12-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2020-12-01.
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COVID, UK – Deaths attributed to COVID exceed 500 on some day in November. ( 86% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2020-10-31; known on 2020-12-01; judged right by Osuniev on 2020-11-30.
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The “EM drive” within 8 years not drive anything nor will it provide any meaningful peer-reviewed contribution to modern physics beyond “still another insight in how not to fuck up an experimental setup and misinterpret data” ( 91% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-02; known on 2023-05-02.