Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
Displaying all predictions made by entropy. Filter by:
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>= 10% of California IT workers unionized by 2025 ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by entropy on 2015-05-10; known on 2025-05-10.
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I will finish the CS pset by 3AM ( 50% confidence )
Created by entropy on 2014-03-12; known on 2014-03-13; judged wrong by entropy on 2014-03-13.
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I will get A's or A-'s in all my graded classes. ( 70% confidence )
Created by entropy on 2014-01-14; known on 2014-05-01; judged wrong by entropy on 2014-03-20.
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I will finish CS124 this term ( 90% confidence )
Created by entropy on 2014-01-14; known on 2015-05-01; judged right by entropy on 2014-03-20.
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Argentine peso to be replaced by January 2016 ( 25% confidence )
Created by entropy on 2014-01-14; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-05.
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I will go on a date with a girl within the next 3 weeks. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by entropy on 2014-01-14; known on 2014-02-03; judged wrong by entropy on 2014-02-03.
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Snowden will be granted an official pardon by Barack Obama by January 2015. ( 5% confidence; 15 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by entropy on 2014-01-14; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by ciil on 2015-01-01.
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A different cryptocurrency beats Bitcoin in market cap at some point during the year. ( 7% confidence; 31 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by ygert on 2014-01-01; known on 2014-12-31; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2014-12-31.
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The 2013 Less Wrong Survey will show more than 60% of the participants to be men. ( 94% confidence; 31 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Mathias Zaman on 2013-12-01; known on 2014-01-31; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-01-19.