Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
Displaying all predictions made by MrHen. Filter by:
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Before 2020 organized religions will have no political influence. ( 11% confidence; 22 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by TheScholar on 2010-09-18; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by jasticE on 2020-02-01.
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Lady Gaga will dominate the pop music industry for the next 5 years ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by alicewilson on 2010-03-22; known on 2015-03-22; judged wrong by Osuniev on 2015-03-28.
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United States will invade Australia and take over ( 10% confidence; 21 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.
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There will be another major natural disaster before the years over ( 66% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2010-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2011-01-06.
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FlashFoward will be renewed for a second season ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by MrHen on 2010-02-23; known on 2010-07-16; judged wrong by MrHen on 2010-09-23.
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Fringe will be renewed for a third season ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by MrHen on 2010-02-23; known on 2010-09-16; judged right by gwern on 2010-09-16.
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I will still identify as Theist in a year ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by MrHen on 2010-02-03; known on 2011-01-01; judged right by MrHen on 2011-01-01.
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The Millennium Prize for solving P Versus NP will remain unclaimed by 2020. ( 83% confidence; 21 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Jack on 2009-10-20; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.
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Before 2030 organised religions will no longer exist in any meaningful way and religion will no longer have any political influence. ( 8% confidence; 28 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by TheScholar on 2009-10-17; known on 2030-01-01; judged unknown by Jack on 2009-11-16.