Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Displaying all predictions made by refnum. Filter by:
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Submarines will find flight MH370, or it will be forever lost. ( 86% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by refnum on 2014-03-24; known on 2014-06-15; judged right by rebellionkid on 2014-07-06.
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Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 was struck by a meteorite causing rapid disintegration. Alternatively, aircraft lengthening redesign gave way causing rapid disintegration. ( 10% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by refnum on 2014-03-11; known on 2014-04-30; judged wrong by procran on 2014-05-05.
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Japanese Misao Okawa, the world's oldest woman, will reach 120 years of age. ( 80% confidence )
Created by refnum on 2014-03-05; known on 2018-03-25.
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Russia will face economic sanctions by mid- 2014 ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by refnum on 2014-03-03; known on 2014-06-15; judged right by Andrew MacFie on 2014-05-06.
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World War 3 will start by december 2014 ( 1% confidence; 29 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by refnum on 2014-03-03; known on 2014-12-31; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2014-12-31.
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There will be just as much opposition protesting in Ukraine by March 2014 and there will have been further clashes with government forces. ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by refnum on 2014-02-21; known on 2014-03-25; judged wrong by kuudes on 2014-12-01.