Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 83% | 100% | 80% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 25 |
Displaying all predictions made by meedstrom. Filter by:
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Joe Biden has a near-death experience in the next two years ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2023-02-06; judged wrong by Reinersaltaccount on 2023-02-06.
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A human has set foot on Mars ( 9% confidence; 12 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-08-11; known on 2031-01-01.
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assuming roe v wade is overturned, certain kinds of hormonal contraception will be classified as abortificants and banned in some states. ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by sobet on 2022-05-08; known on 2028-05-08.
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The Biden administration officially claims that China has provided military assistance to Russia for its invasion in Ukraine ( 30% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-03-14; known on 2025-01-20.
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[Self] I have meditated at least 11 of 14 days from now until March ( 50% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-03-01; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-02-26.
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[Self] I make a YouTube channel by end of February ( 20% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-02-28; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-04-10.
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[Self] Tensing reveals my abs by July ( 3% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-07-01; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-08-12.
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[Self] Tensing reveals my abs by December ( 8% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-12-01; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2022-01-30.
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Lund University, Sweden returns to physical classrooms by September ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-09-01; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2022-01-30.
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Lund University, Sweden returns to physical classrooms by June ( 50% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-06-01; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-08-12.
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Lund University, Sweden returns to physical classrooms by April ( 30% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-14; known on 2021-04-01; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-04-10.
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[Self] I will get my Bachelor's degree by June. ( 10% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-09; known on 2021-06-02; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-08-12.
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[Self] I will finish my course on rhetoric in a way that makes me proud. ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-09; known on 2021-05-21; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-08-12.
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[Self] By the end of March, I will have been tracking & reviewing my finances for 30+ days in a way that appears sustainable. ( 30% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-09; known on 2021-03-31; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-04-10.
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[Self] By the end of March, I will publish my secretary.el package. ( 50% confidence )
Created by meedstrom on 2021-02-09; known on 2021-03-31; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2021-04-10.
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World War 3 next year ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2022-02-06; judged wrong by meedstrom on 2022-02-13.
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GME will reach $1000 at some point before 1 March 2021. ( 13% confidence; 22 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by galaga on 2021-01-29; known on 2021-03-01; judged wrong by galaga on 2021-03-01.
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Trump convicted by Senate before March 15 ( 8% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by krp.1902 on 2021-01-26; known on 2021-03-15; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2021-03-16.
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By July 2021, China will invade Taiwan. The invasion will take longer than anticipated and as a result China will use biological weapons. The USA and EU will do nothing. ( 4% confidence; 19 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Random on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-07-31; judged wrong by D0TheMath on 2021-07-31.
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“within 5 years of leaving office, the Obamas will have a net worth of more than $50 million.” —Dennis Mangan ( 65% confidence; 12 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-07-21; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2022-01-05.
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Google will survive for 15 more years ( 91% confidence; 29 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by NancyLebovitz on 2013-05-19; known on 2028-05-19.