Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 67% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
Displaying all predictions made by Esuba. Filter by:
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Construction of Hyperloop will be approved by 2020 ( 22% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Esuba on 2014-01-24; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.
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Sherlock season 4 will be out by Christmas. ( 23% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by shadow1537 on 2014-01-20; known on 2014-12-25; judged wrong by kuudes on 2014-12-25.
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One of the years 2014-2016 will be the hottest year ever. ( 60% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by waveman on 2014-01-15; known on 2017-02-01; judged right by waveman on 2015-02-02.
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“the entire north polar ice cap may well be completely gone in five years.” —Al Gore ( 12% confidence; 12 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-11; known on 2014-04-01; judged wrong by waveman on 2014-04-01.