Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Displaying all predictions made by wedrifid. Filter by:
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“one of the top 5 biggest bitcoin sites will be hacked and the hacker will profit by gaining lots of bitcoins” —kiba ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-12-31; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-01.
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If Eliezer Yudkowsky decides to follow Kevin's diet for at least three months in the next two years, his end weight after three months will be at least ten pounds (~4.5 kg) lighter than his starting weight. ( 44% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by papermachine on 2011-12-26; known on 2014-01-16; judged right by wedrifid on 2014-01-16.