Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Displaying all predictions made by mayanju. Filter by:
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Nothing very spectacular will happen in the stock market in the next couple of months. ( 41% confidence; 4 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by mayanju on 2015-08-19; known on 2015-10-16; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2015-10-23.
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Russia will be aggressive toward Finland. ( 65% confidence; 4 comments )
Created by mayanju on 2015-08-19; known on 2016-08-16; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-08-30.
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I think Russia will aggress other countries, too, not just Ukraine. ( 85% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by mayanju on 2015-08-19; known on 2017-07-16; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2015-10-09.
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“Five years from now on the web for free you’ll be able to find the best lectures in the world. It will be better than any single university.” —Bill Gates ( 87% confidence; 4 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-07; known on 2015-08-06; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-30.