Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 63% | 43% | 49% | 51% | 71% | |
Sample Size | 18 | 16 | 28 | 37 | 96 | 190 | 385 |
Displaying all predictions made by Raahul_Kumar. Filter by:
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Malnutrition trends in Bharat:By 2022 Wasting will be at 8.2% among under 3 children. ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-25.
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Malnutrition trends in Bharat:By 2030 Wasting among under 3 children will be at 0%. ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2030-12-25.
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By 2038 0% of children will be underweight in Bharat. ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2038-12-25.
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By 2030 child malnutrition(underweight) in Bharat will fall to 7.4%. ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2030-12-25.
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By 2022, child malnutrition(underweight) in Bharat will fall to 18.4%. ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-25.
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Malnutrition trends in Bharat: Stunting -Under 3 children in 2022 will be under 32.5%. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-17.
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Bharat will win more than 10 medals at Rio 2016 — Sports Minister Sarbananda Sonowal ( 46% confidence; 6 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2016-08-22; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-08-22.
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Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank will pass the World Bank in terms of loans(billions of dollars per year) made. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2022-12-25.
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The New Development Bank will make more loans in billions of dollars per year, than the IMF by 2022. ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2022-12-16.
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Bharat's HDI will be > 0.856 by 2048. ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2048-12-25.
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Since 2001, the total number of low-income countries has nearly halved to 34, as 31 graduated to middle-income status. By 2026, another 31 will graduate, leaving only 3 countries in low income status. ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2026-12-25.
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By 2030, Zhongguo will have 27% of the estimated 300 million 25-34 yr old graduates ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-11.
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Global thermonuclear war, worldwide by Jan 1, 2016 ( 0% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-01.
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War between india & pakistan 2015 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-01-13.
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War between North and South Korea breaks out by Jan 1, 2016 ( 0% confidence; 7 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-31.
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By 2030, EU will have 7% of the estimated 300 million 25-34 yr old graduates ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
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By 2030, USA will have 8% of the estimated 300 million 25-34 yr old graduates ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
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By 2030, Bharat will have 23% of the estimated 300 million 25-34 yr old graduates. ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
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Europe and the United States will be lagging well behind with 8% and 4% of STEM graduates by 2030 respectively —OECD ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
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Bharat and Zhongguo will account for more than 60% of the OECD and G20 STEM graduates. ( 83% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
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BRIICS countries will produce 75% global STEM graduates by 2030. ( 86% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
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Bharat will be ranked 7th in 2021, up from 13th in 2014 in the Nature Index.(Qualitative Science ranking) ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2021-12-25.
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Bharat will be ranked No3 in the world for science by 2022(ranked by Citable documents, Scopus DB). ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-30; known on 2021-12-16.
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Bharat had 21,269 Web of science papers in 2003 to 45,639 in 2012.Bharat's world share will increase from 3.6% to a lower bound of 4.7%, 66,700 science papers by 2021. ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-10.
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Craig S. Wright will not (in the next year) demonstrate possession of the key with fingerprint DE4E FCA3 E1AB 9E41 CE96 CECB 18C0 9E86 5EC9 48A1, nor of any other key or bitcoin convincingly belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto. ( 82% confidence; 18 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by James Babcock on 2015-12-09; known on 2016-12-09; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-09.
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Great Green Wall, a land restoration programme in the African Sahel over the next 10 years. Aims to restore more than 50 million hectares of land. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2025-12-12.
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Brasil’s research papers in Web of Science increased in 2003 to 2012 from 1.7% to 2.7%. It's world share will be at least 3.7% by 2021. ( 79% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-16.
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The New York times will report it confirmed that Craig Wright is Satoshi Nakamoto by 2016-12-31 ( 18% confidence; 13 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by solipsist on 2015-12-09; known on 2016-12-31; judged wrong by solipsist on 2016-12-31.
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Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-25.
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World share in science papers for the United States fell from 33% in 2003 to 27.8% in 2012.By 2021 it will be under 22.6%. — Web of Science, Thomson Reuters ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-10.
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EU's world share in science papers declined from 38.5% in 2003 to 35.5% in 2012, and by 2021 will be under 32.5%. — Web of Science, Thomson Reuters ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-25.
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Finland will be the first nation to introduce nationwide basic income by December 2017. ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-07; known on 2017-12-25; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2017-12-27.
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WIMPs will be discovered by beginning of 2020. ( 41% confidence; 5 wagers; 14 comments )
Created by splorridge on 2015-12-08; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-20.
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The Federal Reserve will not hike the interest rate in 2015. ( 15% confidence; 10 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Afforess on 2015-12-08; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Afforess on 2015-12-16.
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Rural electrification: 18,452 villages are to be provided electricity in Bharat under the Deen Dayal Upadhyay Gramin Jyoti Yojana by May 1, 2018. ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 14 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-07; known on 2018-05-02.
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Bill Gates “Digital transactions will rise to 50% of India's GDP in the next 2-3 years”. ( 75% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-06; known on 2018-12-25; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-27.
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RBI estimates Bharat's current account deficit at 1.5% in FY16. ( 95% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-06; known on 2016-12-31.
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Bharat's fiscal deficit will come to down to 3% of GDP in 3 years: 3.9% GDP in 2015-16, 3.5% in 2016-17 3% 2017-18. ( 95% confidence; 7 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-06; known on 2018-12-07; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-07.
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World Bank predicts Bharat will have sub 8% growth for 3 years. 7.5% 2015-16,7.8% 2016-17, and 7.9% 2017-18. ( 0% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-06; known on 2018-12-07; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-07.
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Bharat total exports in world markets to be 3.5% by 2020, doubling it in five years. USD 900 billion by 2020, almost double from USD 461 billion in 2013-14. -High Commissioner Vijay Thakur Singh ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-27; known on 2020-12-26.
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Bharat: HNWI wealth is forecasted at USD 1.425 trillion in 2016, rising to USD 2.3 trillion by 2020. —Julius Baer wealth report ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2020-12-25.
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Bharat's incremental GDP will pass USA in 2014-15. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-03; known on 2016-05-16; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-04-26.
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Bharat to be a $3.5 trillion economy by 2020: Sonal Varma, Nomura ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2020-12-25.
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International Air Transport Association's (IATA) updated passenger growth forecast, predicts Bharat will displace Britain as the third-largest market by 2026. ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2026-12-25.
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Bharat's middle class will reach 475 million by 2030. ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2030-12-25.
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Bharat's middle class will reach 200 million by 2020. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2020-12-30.
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By 2030 around one billion people in Zhongguo would be middle class — approximately 70% of its projected population. ( 95% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2030-12-03.
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U.S will experience a recession before 2019 according to FRED data ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ArturoGoosnargh on 2015-12-01; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2019-05-21.
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Bharat's life expectancy at birth will improve over the next decades, from 71.7 years in 2025-2030 to 75.9 years in 2045-2050 and 84.6 years in 2095-2100. ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-30; known on 2025-12-01.
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Bharat will be the most populous nation in the world by 2050 at 1.63 billion people. —Jansankhya Sthirata Kosh or National Population Stabilisation Fund (NPSF). ( 100% confidence; 7 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-30; known on 2050-12-25.
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The IMF will vote in favor of adding the Yuan to the Special Drawing Rights basket on Nov 30th, 2015 ( 83% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2015-11-27; known on 2015-11-30; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-30.
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Bharat will be ranked 2nd in the world by internet users, at least 402 million. ( 98% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-19; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-30.
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There are ground troops from one or more then EU member states that are at least 1000 persons strong on ground of what is currently Syria at least once before the end of prediction. ( 30% confidence; 13 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by kuudes on 2015-11-16; known on 2016-07-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2016-07-01.
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At least one country leaves the Eurozone before 2018 ( 40% confidence; 8 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by qznc on 2015-11-12; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.
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Vachier-Lagrave will win the London Chess Classic ( 14% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Josh Holland on 2015-11-12; known on 2015-12-13; judged wrong by Josh Holland on 2015-12-14.
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Anand will win the London Chess Classic ( 14% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Josh Holland on 2015-11-12; known on 2015-12-13; judged wrong by Josh Holland on 2015-12-14.
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Giri will win the London Chess Classic ( 24% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Josh Holland on 2015-11-12; known on 2015-12-13; judged wrong by Josh Holland on 2015-12-14.
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Nakamura will win the London Chess Classic ( 14% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Josh Holland on 2015-11-12; known on 2015-12-13; judged wrong by Josh Holland on 2015-12-14.
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Topalov will win the London Chess Classic ( 8% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Josh Holland on 2015-11-12; known on 2015-12-13; judged wrong by Josh Holland on 2015-12-14.
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US economy will be in recession by 2017. ( 41% confidence; 10 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-12; known on 2017-12-25; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2017-12-25.
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Brexit: UK will vote to leave the EU in the referendum. ( 39% confidence; 14 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-11; known on 2017-11-25; judged right by mortehu on 2016-06-25.
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The Fed won't raise the rate in 2015 ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jdmeagher on 2015-11-07; known on 2016-01-07; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2016-01-04.
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Nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan in the next 10 years ( 1% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-11-06; known on 2025-11-07.
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In five years, 80% of the smartphones worldwide will come from Chinese companies or Chinese acquired companies. ( 32% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by danpop on 2015-11-06; known on 2020-11-06; judged wrong by avi on 2020-11-07.
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English Wikipedia will have greater than or equal to 6,000,000 articles by the end date of this prediction ( 22% confidence; 13 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by danielfilan on 2015-11-05; known on 2018-11-01; judged wrong by danielfilan on 2018-11-01.
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By the end of 2020, the obesity rate among adults 20 years or older in the United States will drop from 34.9% in 2012 to 30%… +/- .9 percent. ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Lissy on 2015-11-04; known on 2020-12-31.
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Bharat will grow at least 8-8.5% in real GDP terms from 1 April 2015 to 31 March 2016(FY16). —NITI Aayog vice chairman Arvind Panagariya ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-03; known on 2016-10-20.
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Scott Adams – I predict Trump gets at least 65% of the votes in the general election. ( 4% confidence; 20 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by halfwit on 2015-11-03; known on 2016-11-09; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.
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Bharat will eliminate absolute poverty(WB:1.90 USD definition) by 2024 ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-02; known on 2024-11-03.
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At least 3 more people in the US will get the bubonic plague by year-end 2016. ( 76% confidence; 7 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2015-11-01; known on 2017-01-02; judged unknown by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2015-12-26.
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Zhongguo will be a high income country by 2022 ( 70% confidence; 6 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-28; known on 2022-12-12; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-12-18.
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The Long Range Strike Bomber will cost at least $846 million per plane (in FY2016 dollars). ( 78% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by quanticle on 2015-10-28; known on 2025-01-01.
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Bharat's ranking in the World Bank's Ease of Doing Business report would be at least 105, up from 130 in 2016. ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-28; known on 2017-11-30; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-30.
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Venezuela to go to war with at least one other country before November 1, 2025. ( 18% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-10-25; known on 2025-11-02.
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Haruki Murakami will win the next Nobel Prize in Literature. ( 21% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by danielfilan on 2015-10-20; known on 2016-11-01; judged wrong by penten on 2016-10-14.
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Russia to be at war or to have common media reports of many troops engaging in combat in a European country other than Ukraine by the end of 2018. ( 57% confidence; 8 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-20; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-30.
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Xi Jinping pledges to remove poverty in Zhongguo by 2020. 70.17 million people in the countryside live below the poverty line of 2,300 yuan (USD 376) in annual income at 2014. ( 38% confidence; 4 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2021-06-11.
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Zhongguo's wind power capacity will hit 120 gigawatts ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2015-12-25; judged right by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-05.
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Bharat cumulative installed electricity capacity will be over 600 GW by 2025 ( 84% confidence; 2 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2025-12-28.
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Brasil will reduce 43% of its greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 from 2005 levels. ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2029-12-31.
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Brasil will reduce 37% of its greenhouse gas emissions by 2025 from 2005 levels—Dilma Rouseff ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2026-01-01.
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Toyota said by 2050, gas-electric hybrids, plug-in hybrids, fuel-cell cars and electric vehicles will account for most of its global vehicle sales. That means gasoline- and diesel-engine powered cars(85%) will be near zero. ( 76% confidence; 4 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2045-10-18.
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Saudi Arabia and Turkey will be invaded by Russian forces before 2017. ( 9% confidence; 16 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Znt on 2015-10-13; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-01-01.
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Bashar Al-Assad government will control at least 50% of Syrian territory by next year. ( 58% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-12; known on 2016-12-31; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2016-12-31.
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Rossiya's real GDP growth for 2016 will be at least 0.7% for full year. ( 76% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-12; known on 2016-12-31.
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Of the 7 satellites of IRNSS satellite navigation constellation, 4 are already in orbit while the remaining 3 will be in place by March 2016. ( 62% confidence; 5 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-12; known on 2016-03-30; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-27.
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The Majorana Demonstrator or its successor experiment will find 5-sigma evidence of neutrinoless double beta decay by January 1, 2020. ( 26% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-10-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-01.
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Bharat will have 294 5th gen fighters – 50% more than the USAF F-22s. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-24; known on 2030-12-25.
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Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar: 1 billion (Rs 6,600 crore) worth of defence equipment will be exported in three years. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-24; known on 2018-12-31.
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2025 there will be about 2.7 billion with excess weight, up from 2 billion in 2010. ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-10; known on 2025-05-28.
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Only 21 LRS-Bs will actually be built. The Pentagon is planning to procure 80-100 LRS-Bs to replace the Air Force’s B-1 and B-52 bombers. The Pentagon won't achieve even 25% of its planned target. ( 57% confidence; 5 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-08; known on 2030-12-31.
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Zhongguo will be No 1 nation in nuclear power by 2022. ( 60% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2022-12-25.
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Demographer Sanjeev Sanyal of Deutsche Bank predicts The Big Shrink. World’s fertility rate at replacement rate in 2025 World population peak 2055 at 8.7 billion and decline to 8.0 billion by 2100. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2025-12-31.
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At least one major car brand not affiliated with WV will be caught for emission cheating during the next year ( 70% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by silacoid on 2015-10-07; known on 2016-10-07; judged right by kuudes on 2015-10-09.
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Energy efficiency: T&D losses from the 22 % in 2015 to 15% by 2019 — Power Ministry Bharat ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2019-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-31.
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RuPay (रूपे) and China UnionPay (中国银联) will surpass Visa and Mastercard as a payment network. ( 76% confidence; 4 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2025-05-28.
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In 2027(latest possible date) the EU and Ukraine will recognize the liberation of Crimea as an indivisible part of Rossiya(Россия). ( 53% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2027-12-31.
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Maldives will not have the same president or vice president at the end of 3/2016 as it has now (Yameen, Adeep). ( 65% confidence; 7 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by kuudes on 2015-10-06; known on 2016-03-31; judged right by kuudes on 2015-11-06.
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It takes Newport News the better part of a decade to build a single supercarrier. China has no experience building any ship the size of an aircraft carrier—even a moderate-sized one like Liaoning. A minimum of 9 years can be inferred from their statement. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-06; known on 2020-12-25.
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001-A(山东/Shandong) aircraft carrier was predicted by National Interest to take 9 years. It will take 4.5 -5 years. ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-06; known on 2019-12-25.