Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 33% | 27% | 38% | 67% | 88% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 3 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 36 |
Displaying all predictions made by Wes. Filter by:
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By adding support for JS unit testing, we expect the feature test suite duration to drop by 30s–1min (by replacing the sign up specs) on CI ( 73% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Wes on 2017-02-07; known on 2017-03-07; judged wrong by Wes on 2017-03-21.
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Deployments in the next 16 days will reduce the amount of Bellroy WIP (stories started and not yet accepted) down to 12 stories or less. ( 57% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Mike on 2015-05-19; known on 2015-06-05; judged wrong by Mike on 2015-06-11.
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Eliezer will publish at least one HPMOR chapter this month. ( 7% confidence; 11 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by ygert on 2014-03-01; known on 2014-04-01; judged wrong by on 2014-04-01.
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Bitcoin will drop in value over next week ( 52% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Jedijuggler on 2014-02-28; known on 2014-03-07; judged wrong by Tuxedage on 2014-03-09.
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Email will be sent once ( 90% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2012-08-21; known on 2012-08-21; judged wrong by Wes on 2012-08-21.
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Emails are sent twice ( 90% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2012-08-21; known on 2012-08-21; judged right by Wes on 2012-08-21.
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The recent deployment will have fixed the domain name in Prediction Book emails ( 95% confidence; 10 comments )
Created by Wes on 2011-11-14; known on 2011-11-14; judged right by Wes on 2011-11-14.
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Google+ will surpass Facebook in 2013 (in number of users and level of interaction) ( 16% confidence; 27 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by sameganegie on 2011-11-04; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by RobertLumley on 2014-01-01.
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Investling site will be live ( 70% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2010-01-19; known on 2010-01-20; judged right by Wes on 2010-01-20.
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Plan Deliver website will be available at its proper home before the Christmas break ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Wes on 2009-12-21; known on 2009-12-23; judged right by Wes on 2009-12-23.
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PlanDeliver retail site content will be finished by the end of the week ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-11-24; known on 2009-11-27; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-11-29.
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I will have automated the rollout of a ruby site by the end of the week. ( 42% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jon on 2009-11-22; known on 2009-11-27; judged wrong by jon on 2009-11-27.
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Our TV will be set up (connected to a server, some kind of status report) til the end of the week ( 75% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Tom on 2009-11-22; known on 2009-11-28; judged right by Tom on 2009-11-29.
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The Radiopaedia content cleanup will be finished by the end of the week ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Wes on 2009-10-26; known on 2009-10-30; judged right by Wes on 2009-11-03.
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Radiopaedia work will be finalised (for now) by the end of the week ( 60% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-10-19; known on 2009-10-26; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-10-26.
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Radiopaedia will be up and running on the staging server by the end of the week ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Wes on 2009-09-28; known on 2009-10-02; judged right by Wes on 2009-09-30.
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Radiopaedia will go live on or before Wed next week (week beginning 21 Sep) ( 60% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-09-14; known on 2009-09-24; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-09-24.
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We will have another Plandeliver client (verbal agreement) by the end of the week ( 40% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Tom on 2009-09-14; known on 2009-09-21; judged wrong by Tom on 2009-09-21.
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Round 2 and 3 of the Radiopaedia styling will be completed. Where completed means released to dev. ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged right by Wes on 2009-09-14.
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we'll have implemented free-text searching by selectable filters (new approach) ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged wrong by captainpete on 2009-09-14.
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At least one of our apps will be running on the full AWS stack (ELB, EC2 app, EC2 db, EBS) by Sunday ( 64% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-13; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-09-14.
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I will have a new iPhone 3GS in hand ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-13; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-12.
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I will work Friday ( 50% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-11; judged right by Glenn on 2009-09-11.
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We will start working on the MyOB integration at Kando ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Tom on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged wrong by Tom on 2009-09-14.
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Kando will be live first of december ( 65% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Tom on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-12-01; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-12-01.
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I will have closed all the currently open podshifter tickets relating to broken feeds ( 57% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-06; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-09-07.
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Snow Leopard will not feature a redone UI ( 85% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-06-04; known on 2009-08-28; judged right by Wes on 2009-06-08.
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Round 2 of the Radiopaedia redesign integration will be completed ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-09-07.
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we'll have finished refactoring variants into products ( 55% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged right by captainpete on 2009-09-07.
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we'll be experimenting with meat-spaced project management system ( 63% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged wrong by captainpete on 2009-09-07.
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The release date for Snow Leopard will be announced at WWDC. ( 90% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-06-04; known on 2009-06-08; judged right by Wes on 2009-06-08.
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Third generation iPhone will be announced at WWDC ( 90% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-06-04; known on 2009-06-08; judged right by Wes on 2009-06-08.
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An email will be sent to me ( 98% confidence )
Created by Wes on 2009-05-15; known on 2009-05-15; judged right by Wes on 2009-05-15.
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The url_mapping file will be completed and delivered to Sanath by 2pm today ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Wes on 2009-03-20; known on 2009-03-20; judged right by Wes on 2009-03-20.