Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Displaying all predictions made by alleniaccarino. Filter by:
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GJP: #1059 Will Kim Jong-un attend an official, in-person meeting with any G8 head of government* before 1 April 2012? ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2012-01-09; known on 2012-04-01; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-04-01.
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GJP: #1051 Will Mario Monti resign, lose re-election/confidence vote, or vacate the office of Prime Minister of Italy before 1 January 2013? ( 43% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by gwern on 2011-12-19; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-01.