Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
Displaying all predictions made by Laudano. Filter by:
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[ Brazil's next president will be] A conservative like Ronaldo Caiado or Joao Amoedo ( 5% confidence )
Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-10-29; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-10-08.
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[ Brazil's next president will be] Bolsonaro or someone who espouses his law and order/anti-establishment platform ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-10-29; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2018-10-28.
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[ Brazil's next president will be] A yet unknown outsider (Huck, Joaquim Barbosa, Meirelles, Doctor Rey, or other clown) ( 40% confidence )
Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-10-29; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-10-08.
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[ Brazil's next president will be] A permanent political class shill (Alckmin, Marina Silva, Ciro Gomes, Alvaro Dias, Joao Doria, other crooks) ( 5% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-10-29; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2018-10-28.
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Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2027-11-25.
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[If Lula goes unpunished, Brazil will balkanize herself] A junta will take over after a military coup. ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2027-11-25.
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[If Lula goes unpunished, Brazil will balkanize herself] The capital city will be moved elsewhere from Brasilia. ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Laudano on 2017-11-25; known on 2027-11-25.
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[Brazil's next president will be] Bolsonaro ( 46% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by lucasmafaldo on 2017-11-25; known on 2018-11-16; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2018-10-28.