Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 50% | 75% | 100% | 80% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
Displaying all predictions made by dmwit. Filter by:
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Transformers are the final architecture needed for AGI ( 40% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2023-01-18; known on 2099-01-01.
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I won't intentionally view any pornographic material in 2023 ( 44% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by panashe on 2023-01-17; known on 2024-01-01.
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The climate book will contain 1 sentence devoted to how challeging it will be to solve how we produce reliable electrical energy. ( 13% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ElliotDavies on 2022-10-29; known on 2022-11-05; judged wrong by ElliotDavies on 2022-12-15.
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World – Russian-Ukrainian war has collateral damage to a third party outside the borders of the current participants, or another participant outside CSTO becomes part of the war, before deadline. ( 29% confidence; 6 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-24; known on 2022-04-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2022-03-06.
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I (a VA resident in phase 1c) will receive my first vaccine dose on or before April 22. ( 25% confidence )
Created by dmwit on 2021-03-30; known on 2021-04-22; judged right by dmwit on 2021-04-22.
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Dave Peterson bought me an electric shaver for Christmas. ( 60% confidence )
Created by dmwit on 2019-12-15; known on 2019-12-28; judged wrong by dmwit on 2019-12-23.
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No new states adopt the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact ( 56% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-02-12; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by amadeu on 2019-03-18.
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Created by dmwit on 2019-02-11; known on 2019-03-11; judged wrong by dmwit on 2019-03-02.
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Created by dmwit on 2019-02-11; known on 2019-03-11; judged wrong by dmwit on 2019-03-02.
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I will discover X ideas in chapters 7-23 of the Haskell School of Music that are new to me and provoke (previously unplanned) changes to github.com/dmwit/twitch-music; X=2 ( 30% confidence )
Created by dmwit on 2019-02-11; known on 2019-03-11; judged wrong by dmwit on 2019-03-02.
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I will discover X ideas in chapters 7-23 of the Haskell School of Music that are new to me and provoke (previously unplanned) changes to github.com/dmwit/twitch-music; X=1 ( 45% confidence )
Created by dmwit on 2019-02-11; known on 2019-03-11; judged right by dmwit on 2019-03-02.
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I will discover X ideas in chapters 7-23 of the Haskell School of Music that are new to me and provoke (previously unplanned) changes to github.com/dmwit/twitch-music; X=0 ( 15% confidence )
Created by dmwit on 2019-02-11; known on 2019-03-11; judged wrong by dmwit on 2019-02-26.
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[Politics] Trump will choose not to run for a second term in 2020. ( 14% confidence; 14 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by KangaRookie on 2019-01-22; known on 2020-11-05; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-11-04.
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I will do eight hours of productive work today. ( 20% confidence )
Created by dmwit on 2019-01-21; known on 2019-01-22; judged wrong by dmwit on 2019-01-22.
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I will attend go club today. ( 30% confidence )
Created by dmwit on 2019-01-21; known on 2019-01-22; judged wrong by dmwit on 2019-01-22.
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I will do six hours of productive work today. ( 90% confidence )
Created by dmwit on 2019-01-21; known on 2019-01-22; judged wrong by dmwit on 2019-01-22.
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Created by dmwit on 2018-12-12; known on 2018-12-20; judged wrong by dmwit on 2018-12-19.