Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Displaying all predictions made by abelriboulot. Filter by:
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S&P500 crashes by more than 5% in a session within 3 months. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by abelriboulot on 2020-08-04; known on 2020-11-04; judged wrong by Stephen on 2021-01-01.
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Elizabeth Warren is Joe Biden's running mate ( 27% confidence; 14 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-06-15; known on 2020-11-01; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-08-12.
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Joe Biden dies of coronavirus in 2020 ( 4% confidence; 14 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sjy on 2020-03-22; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.