Conditional on PredictIt still being around by January 1, 2017 I will have doubled my initial set of money on PredictIt by that date.
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-11; known on 2017-01-02; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2017-01-02.
- JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2015-08-11
- JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2015-08-21
- JoshuaZ said “Updating due to decrease in inefficiencies in the market. ” on 2015-08-21
- JoshuaZ estimated 41% on 2015-12-14
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2017-01-02.
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