Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 33% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
Displaying all predictions made by kassey. Filter by:
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Iowa State University will beat University of Iowa in football next season ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2010-09-13; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-09-13.
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Lady Gaga will dominate the pop music industry for the next 5 years ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by alicewilson on 2010-03-22; known on 2015-03-22; judged wrong by Osuniev on 2015-03-28.
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Shogun Rua will defeat Lyoto Machida at UFC 113 ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by predicted on 2010-04-21; known on 2010-05-08; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Travel to Europe will be delayed for a week due to Volcanic ash. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by predicted on 2010-04-19; known on 2010-04-02; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Carlton will make 2010 Afl Finals ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-03-27; known on 2010-06-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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United States will invade Australia and take over ( 10% confidence; 21 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.
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Barack Obama will get reelected in two years (not individual opinion) ( 66% confidence; 17 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2012-11-06; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.
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There will be another major natural disaster before the years over ( 66% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by tjross on 2010-03-23; known on 2010-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2011-01-06.
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Paul Manoukian will get facebook. ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by kassey on 2010-03-22; known on 2010-06-18; judged wrong by Danni on 2010-06-29.
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Health Care Bill will be passed in the United States ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-22; known on 2011-01-31; judged right by predicted on 2010-03-22.
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The Socceroos will make it through the first round of the World Cup. ( 59% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predicted on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-06-23; judged wrong by Danni on 2010-06-29.
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will bill get the fabled boxo on saturday night? ( 87% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by mastrinc14 on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-21; judged wrong by mastrinc14 on 2010-03-22.
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'Demons' will defeat 'Hawks' in Round 1 ( 46% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by AFL_Predictor on 2010-03-17; known on 2010-03-27; judged wrong by rennie on 2010-03-24.
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Australia will change drinking age to 21 ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by kassey on 2010-02-10; known on 2011-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-01-01.
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The US economy will collapse resulting in massive inflation prior to the end of 2010. ( 30% confidence; 24 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by max on 2009-10-14; known on 2011-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-01-01.