Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by helldalgo. Filter by:
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Conditional on Gary Johnson getting 15% in 5 national polls, the Commission on Presidential Debates will invite him for a debate with Trump and Hillary. ( 58% confidence; 7 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Bruno Parga on 2016-07-24; known on 2016-10-19.
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One week from today, I will weight less than or equal to 169 lbs ( 80% confidence )
Created by helldalgo on 2016-10-17; known on 2016-10-24.
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Brexit will cause hundreds of thousands of deaths from mass starvation in the UK —Charlie Stross ( 2% confidence; 19 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by gwern on 2016-10-07; known on 2026-10-07.
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I will submit my capstone project for accounting on the fourth Monday of June, 2016 ( 78% confidence )
Created by helldalgo on 2016-05-23; known on 2016-06-30.
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Trump names his running mate before GOP convention. ( 45% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-03-24; known on 2016-11-16; judged right by NathanMcKnight on 2016-07-17.
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If nominated, Trump will win zero electoral votes. ( 5% confidence; 12 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-03-22; known on 2017-02-02; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2016-11-09.
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No human will win at Go again against a top AI ( 90% confidence; 7 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by c0rw11 on 2016-03-10; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-03-13.
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Hillary Clinton will win the democratic nomination ( 88% confidence; 30 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by sole21000 on 2016-03-09; known on 2016-07-26; judged right by grogo on 2016-07-26.
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Donald Trump will win the Republican nomination ( 77% confidence; 18 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sole21000 on 2016-03-09; known on 2016-07-22; judged right by elephantower on 2016-07-20.
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Romney is GOP nominee. ( 2% confidence; 15 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-03-08; known on 2016-11-16; judged wrong by splorridge on 2016-11-09.