Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Displaying all predictions made by tsathoggua. Filter by:
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One important result in whole brain emulation ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by tsathoggua on 2012-12-09; known on 2013-04-01; judged wrong by Qiaochu on 2013-04-01.
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Vill be estabilshed, that Jasir Arafat is poisoned by Po210 ( 60% confidence )
Created by tsathoggua on 2012-12-01; known on 2013-03-16.
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Discovering the water and/or oxygen traces in some exoplanets ( 8% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by tsathoggua on 2012-12-01; known on 2013-05-16; judged right by Tuxedage on 2013-05-26.
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Curiosity discovers ancient life forms in Martioian soil ( 7% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by tsathoggua on 2012-12-01; known on 2013-05-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-01.