Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by dain. Filter by:
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[HPMOR Ch. 114] The true solution will hinge on truly convincing Voldemort to let Harry out of the box (i.e. no “brute force” transfiguration solutions where talking is just a distraction) ( 67% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by dain on 2015-03-02; known on 2015-03-03; judged wrong by iwakun on 2015-03-03.
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[HPMOR Ch. 114] The true solution involves time travel ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by dain on 2015-03-02; known on 2015-03-03; judged wrong by dain on 2015-03-03.
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[HPMOR, Ch. 114] The true solution relies on Partial Transfiguration ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by dain on 2015-03-02; known on 2015-03-03; judged right by iwakun on 2015-03-03.
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[HPMOR Ch. 114] Conditional on EY accepting a viable fan solution, it will be different to what will actually happen in the story. ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by dain on 2015-03-02; known on 2015-03-03; judged wrong by dain on 2015-03-03.
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The Indiana-Michigan border radiation anomaly will turn out to be the result of a secret nuclear test. ( 0% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by dain on 2012-06-08; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-01.