Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 44% | 50% | 100% | 86% | 64% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 47 |
Displaying all predictions made by deoh. Filter by:
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Donald Trump will win the 2020 presidential election. ( 32% confidence; 20 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by CoreyS on 2020-08-02; known on 2020-11-16; judged wrong by galaga on 2020-11-11.
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Politics, US – Trump loses the US Presidential Election in 2020, and then either delays inauguration of his successor beyond the end of January 2020 or enacts a policy/declaration they describe as intended to do so. ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2020-06-05; known on 2021-02-01; judged right by MultiplyByZer0 on 2021-04-02.
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Donald Trump to win reelection with at least 49 US states voting for him. ( 2% confidence; 11 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-04; known on 2020-11-25; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-08.
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Humans will have landed on Mars alive by the 31-12-2027. (Landed in the sense that the vehicle/capsule in which they live, physically touches martian soil.) ( 10% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Mathieu_Putz on 2020-06-03; known on 2027-12-31; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2020-06-09.
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Politics, UK – Dominic Cummings resigns or is fired from their job, or changes position or title, before end of June 2020. ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2020-05-28; known on 2020-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2020-07-04.
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Las Vegas casinos will be closed at some point in 2020 due to a second wave of the coronavirus ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam Zerner on 2020-05-26; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by NickN on 2020-08-16.
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A simulated human mind with super intelligence will not happen before 2034 ( 92% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by qznc on 2020-05-25; known on 2034-01-01.
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[Biden's VP pick will be] Elizabeth Warren ( 28% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by amadeu on 2020-05-22; known on 2020-08-01; judged wrong by Deepak on 2020-08-11.
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[Biden's VP pick will be] Kamala Harris ( 35% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by amadeu on 2020-05-22; known on 2020-08-01; judged right by Deepak on 2020-08-11.
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[Biden's VP pick will be] Amy Klobuchar ( 14% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by amadeu on 2020-05-22; known on 2020-08-01; judged wrong by Deepak on 2020-08-11.
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Donald Trump will be elected president in the 2020 presidential elections. ( 50% confidence; 18 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by korakos on 2020-04-30; known on 2020-11-05; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-11-07.
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[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] no-deal Brexit having taken place ( 35% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-24; known on 2020-03-15.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Matt Buco ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Batfoy ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Harry Hong ( 50% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Svavar ( 20% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Jani ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] DanQZ ( 75% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[The number of people with a maxout (999999) qualifying score for the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be at least] 18 ( 10% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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[The number of people with a maxout (999999) qualifying score for the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be at least] 15 ( 30% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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[The number of people with a maxout (999999) qualifying score for the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be at least] 12 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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[The number of people with a maxout (999999) qualifying score for the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be at least] 8 ( 90% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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The Senate to vote on impeachment of the 45th president before the end of June 2020 ( 86% confidence; 11 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-10-19; known on 2020-07-01; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-02-04.
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The lowest qualifying score for entry into the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be above 700000 points ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Koryan ( 75% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Greentea ( 80% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Joseph Saelee ( 90% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Jonas Neubauer ( 90% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[The 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be won by ] Greentea ( 16% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[The 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be won by ] someone who has never won a Classic Tetris World Championship before ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-21.
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[The 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be won by ] Joseph Saelee ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-21; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-21.
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[The 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be won by ] Jonas Neubauer ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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China publicly announces an investigation into Hunter Biden ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-10-04; known on 2020-11-20; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-12-09.
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[Onision (Gregory Daniel Jackson) (born November 11, 1985) gets] arrested within five (5) years ( 85% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2019-09-29; known on 2024-09-29.
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[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4200 ( 81% confidence; 10 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-27; judged right by Cato on 2020-11-02.
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US Politics: Republican nominee for Vice President to be Mike Pence ( 73% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-08-27; judged right by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-29.
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The Riemann Hypothesis will be proven before 2031 ( 16% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-07-20; known on 2031-01-01.
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[US politics] The 2020 Democratic VP candidate to be one of the participants in the July 2019 debate ( 55% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-07-09; known on 2020-08-01; judged right by Cato on 2020-11-02.
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[US politics] House of Representatives to vote on Trump impeachment articles before 2020-05-09 ( 59% confidence; 20 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-05-30; known on 2020-05-10; judged right by Cato on 2019-12-19.