Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
-
Twitter will disappear by the end of the year. ( 52% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by DianneD on 2010-03-03; known on 2010-03-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2011-01-21.
-
Cannabis will be legalised within Australia by 2012 ( 23% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by d403 on 2010-02-28; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-02.
-
Melbourne Victory will win the A league championship ( 80% confidence )
Created by guru on 2010-03-09; known on 2010-03-21; judged right by akavc15 on 2010-03-16.
-
Lara Bingle and Michael Clarke will split up in the next three months ( 100% confidence )
Created by d403 on 2010-03-01; known on 2010-06-01; judged right by harmonix on 2010-03-16.
-
Lot of Australian cricket players will decide to play in this season's Indian Premier League (IPL) ( 97% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by thechadisgreat on 2010-02-23; known on 2010-03-12; judged right by mktg2010 on 2010-03-14.
-
Roxanne Parlour's 3rd Birthday this friday night will be messy. ( 99% confidence )
Created by mark.p on 2010-03-08; known on 2010-03-13; judged right by mark.p on 2010-03-14.
-
I get into MIT ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PotatoDumplings on 2010-01-05; known on 2010-06-05; judged wrong by PotatoDumplings on 2010-03-14.
-
I get into MIT ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PotatoDumplings on 2010-01-05; known on 2010-06-05; judged wrong by PotatoDumplings on 2010-03-14.
-
I get into CalTech. ( 2% confidence )
Created by PotatoDumplings on 2010-01-05; known on 2010-06-05; judged wrong by PotatoDumplings on 2010-03-13.
-
Brad Pitt will come out of the closet. ( 60% confidence )
Created by d403 on 2010-02-28; known on 2010-03-07; judged wrong by Jack on 2010-03-10.
-
i will leave work by 1 o'clock to go eat lunch ( 51% confidence )
Created by ledflyd on 2010-03-09; known on 2010-03-09; judged right by ledflyd on 2010-03-09.
-
I will log onto prediction book again tomorrow ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by ledflyd on 2010-03-08; known on 2010-03-09; judged right by ledflyd on 2010-03-09.
-
Carey Mulligan will win Best Actress ( 60% confidence )
Created by wednesday on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-03-07; judged wrong by wednesday on 2010-03-09.
-
chris lee will leave the class to take a phone call in the next 10 minutes.. again. ( 90% confidence )
Created by mark.p on 2010-03-09; known on 2010-03-09; judged right by mark.p on 2010-03-09.
-
7th of march will be the best day ever ( 90% confidence )
Created by tiffany on 2010-02-28; known on 2010-03-08; judged wrong by guru on 2010-03-09.
-
Barack Obama will be shot by American white-supremist extremists within the next two weeks ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by d403 on 2010-02-28; known on 2010-03-14; judged wrong by Kyrisch on 2010-03-08.
-
Human seer Yudkovsky will have a revelation about friendly AI. Yudkovsky will keep it to himself. ( 76% confidence )
Created by cointelligence on 2010-03-01; known on 2011-03-01; judged wrong by ledflyd on 2010-03-08.
-
Jeff Bridges will win an Oscar for Best Actor in 2010 ( 98% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by mavmetropolis on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-03-07; judged right by mavmetropolis on 2010-03-08.
-
Sky Burial in the WA ( 86% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by cointelligence on 2010-03-01; known on 2010-03-07; judged right by cointelligence on 2010-03-03.
-
japanese people will be replaced by their own robots ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by reymartfc on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-10; judged right by reymartfc on 2010-03-03.
-
Stefan Pernar will not appear out of his own navel ( 99% confidence )
Created by cointelligence on 2010-02-28; known on 2010-03-01; judged right by cointelligence on 2010-03-01.
-
The US will come in the top 5 in total number gold medals won at the 2010 Winter Olympics ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by AJF on 2010-02-12; known on 2010-02-28; judged right by d403 on 2010-03-01.
-
Canada will win Olympic ice-hockey gold medal; points leader Sidney Crosby ( 95% confidence )
Created by harmonix on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-28; judged right by d403 on 2010-02-28.
-
Skinny jeans will last for no more than 18 months ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Lina on 2008-08-26; known on 2010-02-26; judged wrong by cointelligence on 2010-02-28.
-
pretty sure that dani is the greatest. ( 100% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by dani on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-10; judged right by cointelligence on 2010-02-28.
-
I get into MIT ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PotatoDumplings on 2010-01-05; known on 2010-06-05; judged wrong by PotatoDumplings on 2010-03-14.
-
Replacing the PSU on my gaming machine will fix all the problems I've been suffering for over a year. ( 75% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by beriukay on 2010-02-18; known on 2010-02-25; judged right by beriukay on 2010-02-25.
-
foul words such as “fuck, shit, whore” will be used in this site (u r so ful o' bull crap) ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by chacha22 on 2010-02-23; known on 2010-02-23; judged right by chacha22 on 2010-02-23.
-
Asian gangs in Melbourne will not cause trouble this weekend ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by melmel on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-17; judged right by Budha on 2010-02-22.
-
Asian gangs in Melbourne will not cause trouble this weekend ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by melmel on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-17; judged right by Budha on 2010-02-22.
-
Asian gangs in Melbourne will not cause trouble this weekend ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by melmel on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-17; judged right by Budha on 2010-02-22.
-
Asian gangs in Melbourne will not cause trouble this weekend ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by melmel on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-17; judged right by Budha on 2010-02-22.
-
Asian gangs in Melbourne will not cause trouble this weekend ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by melmel on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-17; judged right by Budha on 2010-02-22.
-
I think that this website will become extremely popular within 3 months. ( 100% confidence )
Created by starman on 2010-02-17; known on 2010-05-17; judged wrong by reymartfc on 2010-02-21.
-
Goncalo Amaral will lose his appeal against the banning of his book “The Truth About The Lie” http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/8509563.stm ( 92% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by simontrigowhite on 2010-02-11; known on 2010-02-18; judged right by simontrigowhite on 2010-02-19.
-
The world won't end in 2012 ( 100% confidence )
Created by al3xal3x on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-10; judged right by beriukay on 2010-02-18.
-
Lebron James will sign a contract with a team that is not the Cleveland Cavaliers for the 2010-11 season. ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Jack on 2009-10-14; known on 2010-10-01; judged right by Jack on 2010-07-16.
-
The Cavs will not win the NBA championship in the 09/10 season ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by nicolas on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-06-16; judged right by Jack on 2010-06-16.
-
Prediction Book will be the next big thing to hit!!!!!!!!! ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by rosy on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-01; judged wrong by widz on 2010-02-17.
-
Prediction Book will be the next big thing to hit!!!!!!!!! ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by rosy on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-01; judged wrong by widz on 2010-02-17.
-
Prediction Book will be the next big thing to hit!!!!!!!!! ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by rosy on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-01; judged wrong by widz on 2010-02-17.
-
Prediction Book will be the next big thing to hit!!!!!!!!! ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by rosy on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-01; judged wrong by widz on 2010-02-17.
-
Prediction Book will be the next big thing to hit!!!!!!!!! ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by rosy on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-01; judged wrong by widz on 2010-02-17.
-
The Cavs will not win the NBA championship in the 09/10 season ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by nicolas on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-06-16; judged right by Jack on 2010-06-16.
-
andrew stellas will not hit the wall from one side of the room with a paper aeroplane on the full ( 87% confidence )
Created by jay_pitman on 2010-02-16; known on 2010-02-16; judged right by jay_pitman on 2010-02-16.
-
The University of Kentucky Men's basketball team will not win the 2010 NCAA Division 1 Championship. ( 85% confidence )
Created by Jack on 2010-01-26; known on 2010-04-06; judged right by Jack on 2010-06-16.
-
The Cavs will not win the NBA championship in the 09/10 season ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by nicolas on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-06-16; judged right by Jack on 2010-06-16.
-
japanese people will be replaced by their own robots ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by reymartfc on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-10; judged right by reymartfc on 2010-03-03.
-
Matthew Stokes will not learn from his mistake ( 95% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by imNOTafob on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-10; judged right by vivaladam on 2010-02-10.
-
chuck norris will happen ( 100% confidence )
Created by imNOTafob on 2010-02-10; known on 2010-02-10; judged right by vivaladam on 2010-02-10.