Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Displaying all predictions made by jakebeardsley. Filter by:
-
Trump reelected in 2024. ( 31% confidence; 19 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by bsl5265 on 2021-11-08; known on 2024-11-05.
-
SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant will be generally considered a lab leak before 2024 ( 14% confidence; 10 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by jasticE on 2021-12-23; known on 2024-01-01.
-
I will have my first paper accepted for publication by the end of 2024. ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jakebeardsley on 2021-12-17; known on 2024-01-01.
-
I meet my reading goals for the next two days, as recorded in my notebook. ( 85% confidence )
Created by jakebeardsley on 2021-12-17; known on 2021-12-19; judged wrong by jakebeardsley on 2022-01-01.
-
My paper will not receive comments by the end of 2021. ( 80% confidence )
Created by jakebeardsley on 2021-12-17; known on 2022-01-01.