Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
Displaying all predictions made by sigmaleph. Filter by:
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HP MoR: Harry will, at some point in the story or an epilogue, literally tear apart stars (for star lifting purposes perhaps), and this is what the “tear apart the very stars in heaven” phrase in the prophecy was referring to. ( 62% confidence; 14 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by ygert on 2013-07-28; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2021-01-31.
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The fanfiction “Hogwarts School of Prayer and Miracles” will be revealed as satire/parody within one year. ( 90% confidence )
Created by sigmaleph on 2014-09-23; known on 2015-09-23.
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[Pact web serial] Blake will not retake his position as Thorburn heir ( 70% confidence )
Created by sigmaleph on 2014-07-31; known on 2015-07-02; judged right by David on 2015-06-07.
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[Pact web serial] Blake will leave the Drains. ( 95% confidence )
Created by sigmaleph on 2014-07-31; known on 2015-07-02; judged right by sigmaleph on 2014-08-15.
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United States will engage in war by the end of the year ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by blahblah on 2014-07-30; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.
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Luke turns, or has turned, to the Dark Side in Star Wars episode 7. ( 24% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by HonoreDB on 2014-07-20; known on 2015-12-18; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2015-12-26.
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Vladimir Putin to be awarded the 2014 Nobel Peace Prize ( 1% confidence; 24 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ham Nox on 2014-07-19; known on 2014-10-10; judged wrong by qznc on 2014-10-10.
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HPMoR: Quirrell killed the original Voldemort and took his position. ( 4% confidence; 19 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Emanuel Rylke on 2012-07-31; known on 2014-07-31; judged wrong by player_03 on 2015-03-16.