Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 67% | 67% | 67% | 83% | 67% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
Displaying all predictions made by panashe. Filter by:
-
Elon Musk steps down as CEO of Tesla ( 16% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2023-02-27; known on 2024-01-01.
-
I won't intentionally view any pornographic material before 2028 ( 15% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by panashe on 2023-01-17; known on 2028-01-01.
-
I will watch a TV show better than 'Breaking Bad' by 2090. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Reinersaltaccount on 2023-01-08; known on 2090-01-01.
-
By January 1, 2031, large-language models combined with automated proof checking systems like Lean and Coq will have contributed to proofs which have appeared in major math journals. ( 53% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2023-01-21; known on 2031-01-01.
-
Manchester United beat Reading in the 4th round of the 2022/23 FA Cup ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by panashe on 2023-01-24; known on 2023-01-29; judged right by panashe on 2023-01-30.
-
Manchester United beat Nottingham Forest in the first leg of their 2022/23 EFL Cup semi-final ( 86% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by panashe on 2023-01-24; known on 2023-01-26; judged right by panashe on 2023-01-25.
-
By the end of 2024, I will spend a 60 day stretch without experiencing any allergy symptoms ( 20% confidence )
Created by panashe on 2023-01-18; known on 2024-12-31.
-
I will file my 2023 tax return on time ( 85% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by panashe on 2023-01-18; known on 2023-04-19.
-
I won't intentionally view any pornographic material in 2023 ( 44% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by panashe on 2023-01-17; known on 2024-01-01.
-
New York City will not be subject to any executive orders restricting movement or gathering on August 1st, 2020 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by panashe on 2020-05-22; known on 2020-08-01; judged right by panashe on 2020-08-01.
-
[ Law Enforcement, Celebrity, Musician ] Tekashi69 (AKA Tekashi 6ix9ine) (Daniel Hernandez) (born May 8, 1996) to have an act of murder or attempted murder committed against him ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2020-05-10; known on 2025-05-11.
-
The English Premier League (professional football league) will cancel the remainder of the 2019/2020 season ( 21% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by panashe on 2020-05-09; known on 2020-07-31; judged right by panashe on 2020-06-20.
-
Business, US – By deadline, news has come out to the effect that Elon Musk's baby is not legally named “X Æ A-12”. This includes but is not limited to statements by either Elon Musk or Grimes to that effect, even if later contradicted again. ( 82% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2020-05-06; known on 2020-07-06; judged right by JohnGreer on 2020-05-25.
-
Trump wins the 2020 election. ( 41% confidence; 15 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by azatris on 2020-04-18; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-07.
-
“The Essential Workers” (or similar subject) will be TIME Magazine's Person of the Year for 2020. ( 40% confidence; 15 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2020-04-10; known on 2020-12-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-12-15.