Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 83% | 33% | 90% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 23 |
Displaying all predictions made by katriel. Filter by:
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Trump dies of COVID-19 ( 6% confidence; 34 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by technillogue on 2020-10-02; known on 2021-01-22; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.
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Delhi will be a relative COVID haven on Oct 10, 2020 and safe enough to go into the office and hang out with small groups ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by katriel on 2020-07-11; known on 2020-10-10; judged wrong by katriel on 2020-10-10.
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An Immunitor vaccine clinical trial will actually take place in more than 20 people. ( 7% confidence )
Created by katriel on 2020-06-22; known on 2021-06-30; judged wrong by katriel on 2021-07-01.