Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Displaying all predictions made by cahembr. Filter by:
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2017 ( 7% confidence; 12 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2017-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2017-01-16.
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2020 ( 30% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by dvolk on 2020-01-10.
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2025 ( 34% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2025-01-16.
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My laptop will still be properly functional and in use six months from now. ( 70% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Ham Nox on 2014-06-17; known on 2014-12-18; judged wrong by Ham Nox on 2014-12-19.