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GJP: #1104 Will Yemeni government forces regain control of the towns of Jaar and Zinjibar from Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) before 1 April 2012?

Created by gwern on 2012-03-06; known on 2012-04-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-03.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2012-03-06
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-03.

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