Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 100% | 57% | 40% | 83% | 100% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 3 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 40 |
Displaying all predictions made by quatrefoil. Filter by:
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I can correctly recall the hooks for LABELLA, GLABELLA, and FLABELLA in OSPD5 tournament Scrabble, upon seeing this prediction in 2 years. ( 10% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-08-23; known on 2019-08-24.
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Josh Sokol-Rubenstein can correctly recall the hooks for LABELLA, GLABELLA, and FLABELLA in OSPD5 tournament Scrabble, upon seeing this prediction in 2 years. ( 45% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-08-23; known on 2019-08-23; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2019-08-25.
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The first time my dad returns home today, he has at least one pair of eclipse glasses ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-08-19; known on 2017-08-19; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-08-21.
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#personal If I try psychotherapy in the next 1 months, I will think it's been time and money and other resources well pent ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by crabman on 2017-07-15; known on 2017-08-16.
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TWOPENCES is in the most recent North American Scrabble dictionary ( 90% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-08-03; known on 2017-08-03; judged right by quatrefoil on 2017-08-03.
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I will lose 5 lbs by the end of September (updated: wrote kg, but meant lbs…oops) ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by michelle.rintjema@bellroy.com on 2017-07-25; known on 2017-10-01; judged wrong by michelle.rintjema@bellroy.com on 2017-12-26.
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I am currently doing the “Convict Conditioning” training program. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-07-26; known on 2018-07-21; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2018-07-23.
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I will decide to pursue a career in biology during the next 2 months #personal ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by crabman on 2017-07-15; known on 2017-09-16; judged wrong by crabman on 2017-10-02.
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I will get married before 30 ( 57% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by thebaelfire on 2017-07-14; known on 2030-09-09.
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I will be married before 2025 (age ~35.5) ( 30% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-07-09; known on 2025-01-01.
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Politics, UK – Charlie Gard dies before the start of the 9th of August 2017. ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-09; known on 2017-08-09; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-07-28.
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Tech – Amazon announces plans to offers connectivity or phone plans as an add on to Amazon Prime by the end of August 2017. ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-09; known on 2017-09-01; judged wrong by Pablo on 2017-09-13.
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Politics, UK – Theresa May is leader of the Conservative Party at the start of the 9th of August. ( 75% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-08; known on 2017-08-09; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-09.
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[The winner of the Albany scrabble tournament is] Mack Meller ( 28% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-30; known on 2017-07-05; judged right by quatrefoil on 2017-07-05.
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[The winner of the Albany scrabble tournament is] Will Anderson ( 34% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-30; known on 2017-07-05; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-07-05.
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[The winner of the Albany scrabble tournament is] Joey Mallick ( 23% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-30; known on 2017-07-05; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-07-05.
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I have a job different from the one I had on 6/25/17. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25; known on 2017-09-21; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-09-21.
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[My History of the Soviet Union Grade will be] B ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My History of the Soviet Union Grade will be] F ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My History of the Soviet Union Grade will be] D ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My History of the Soviet Union Grade will be] C ( 18% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My History of the Soviet Union Grade will be] A ( 24% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged right by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My Machine Learning Seminar grade will be] B ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My Machine Learning Seminar grade will be] Below B ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My Machine Learning Seminar grade will be] A ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged right by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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I get a C in MTH445 ( 15% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25.
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[My MTH445 grade will be] D ( 9% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My MTH445 grade will be] F ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My MTH445 grade will be] A ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged right by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My MTH445 grade will be] B ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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[My MTH445 grade will be] C ( 13% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-06-10; known on 2017-06-25; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-25.
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Kenji Matsumoto wins the 2017 Niagara Falls Scrabble Tournament (prediction recorded after tournament started but before looking at results). ( 18% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-05-20; known on 2017-05-23; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-05-24.
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I go to CRev. ( 40% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-05-20; known on 2017-06-05; judged wrong by quatrefoil on 2017-06-05.
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Prof will present the paper next week. ( 25% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-05-20; known on 2017-05-27; judged right by quatrefoil on 2017-05-27.
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I will go to a certain meetup. ( 85% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-05-20; known on 2017-06-11; judged right by quatrefoil on 2017-06-11.
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I will make dinner for my family on Friday, May 26th. ( 75% confidence )
Created by quatrefoil on 2017-05-20; known on 2017-05-27; judged right by quatrefoil on 2017-05-27.
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I will get a 5 on the APUSH exam. ( 48% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by burning.harvest on 2017-05-19; known on 2017-07-13; judged right by thebaelfire on 2018-05-10.