Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 41% | 58% | 67% | 81% | 90% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 51 | 59 | 60 | 75 | 79 | 6 | 330 |
Displaying all predictions made by sweeneyrod. Filter by:
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Pistons will beat/draw against Raptors ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-11; known on 2015-01-13; judged right by benwr on 2015-01-13.
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Nets will beat/draw against Rockets ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-11; known on 2015-01-13; judged wrong by benwr on 2015-01-13.
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Celtics will beat/draw against Pelicans ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-11; known on 2015-01-13; judged right by benwr on 2015-01-13.
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I will graduate from Virginia Tech with a BS in Computer Engineering at the end of the Spring 2015 semester ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by benwr on 2015-01-11; known on 2015-05-15; judged right by benwr on 2016-01-27.
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North Korea’s government will not collapse (whether due to revolt/civil war, or war with another country) before Dec 31, 2015. ( 93% confidence; 20 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-10; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-12-31.
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In 2015 there will not be any terrorist attacks in the US that kill more than 40 people. ( 85% confidence; 13 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-10; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2016-01-01.
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I will be a vegetarian or pescetarian at the end of the year. ( 92% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-10; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-12-31.
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Clippers will beat/draw against Mavericks ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-09; known on 2015-01-11; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-11.
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Knicks will beat/draw against Hornets ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-09; known on 2015-01-11; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-11.
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Pacers will beat/draw against Celtic. ( 55% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-08; known on 2015-01-10; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-10.
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Man City will beat/draw against Everton ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-07; known on 2015-01-11; judged right by dgray on 2015-01-10.
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Liverpool will beat/draw against Sunderland ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-07; known on 2015-01-11; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-11.
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Wizards will beat/draw against Knicks ( 53% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-06; known on 2015-01-08; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-08.
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Pelicans will beat/draw against Hornets ( 55% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-06; known on 2015-01-08; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-08.
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Bucks will beat/draw against Suns ( 52% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-05; known on 2015-01-07; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-08.
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Spurs will beat/draw against Pistons ( 55% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-05; known on 2015-01-07; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-08.
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The SNP will get the most seats in Scotland next General Election ( 81% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-04; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by splorridge on 2015-06-16.
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Ukip will get the highest amount of seats next General Election ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-04; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
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Ukip will have over 20 seats after the next UK general election ( 29% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-10.
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Ukip will have five or less seats following the UK general election. ( 48% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by roreiy on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
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Vladimir Putin will be president of Russia as of 1st January 2016 ( 91% confidence; 18 wagers )
Created by roreiy on 2015-01-03; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by btrettel on 2016-01-01.
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Queen Elizabeth II will announce her abdication before 1st January 2016 ( 10% confidence; 18 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by roreiy on 2015-01-03; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-01-01.
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Barack Obama will be President of the United States as of 1st January 2016. ( 83% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by roreiy on 2015-01-03; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by rebellionkid on 2016-01-05.
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The Labour Party will have the largest number of seats following the UK GE. ( 60% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by roreiy on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
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The next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom will be Ed Miliband ( 61% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by doxievee on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-05-14; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
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HP MOR: It will be revealed that Harry rederived the Pythagorean Theorem, on a Thursday, before April, and that it was fun ( 2% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by solipsist on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-03-14; judged wrong by solipsist on 2015-03-14.
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I will have a complete futures and FX trading system in place by end 2Q 2015. This means finishing testing the code, optimizing, getting up to date data, and setting up the actual trading. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by waveman on 2015-01-02; known on 2015-07-01; judged wrong by waveman on 2015-07-02.
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By 2025, autism rates in the US will surpass 50% for children. ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-30; known on 2026-01-01.
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The rehearsal on Friday will go ahead ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-30; known on 2015-01-03; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-03.
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I'll be able to stick to my 2015 New Year resolution of 'no potato chips or french fries' till Dec 31, 2015. ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by roshni on 2014-12-30; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by roshni on 2016-01-15.
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I get the job at Google ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam Zerner on 2014-12-29; known on 2015-01-29; judged wrong by Adam Zerner on 2015-01-30.
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Man City will beat/draw against Sunderland ( 65% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-29; known on 2015-01-02; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-02.
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Man U will beat/draw against Stoke ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-29; known on 2015-01-02; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-02.
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I will have completed the PC by Wednesday ( 30% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-28; known on 2014-12-31; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-31.
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I will have completed level 20 on the PC by Wednesday ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-28; known on 2014-12-31; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-31.
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Spurs will beat/draw against Rockets ( 55% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27; known on 2014-12-29; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-29.
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Pistons will beat/draw against Cavaliers ( 53% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27; known on 2014-12-29; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-29.
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Sunderland will beat/draw against Aston Villa ( 65% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27; known on 2014-12-29; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-29.
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Man City will beat/draw against Burnley ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27; known on 2014-12-29; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-29.
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Chelsea will beat/draw against Southampton ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27; known on 2014-12-29; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-29.
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Man U will beat/draw against Tottenham ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27; known on 2014-12-29; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-29.
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I will finish Antichamber before 2015-02-01 ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2014-12-25; known on 2015-02-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-02-01.
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Bulls will beat/draw against Lakers ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-24; known on 2014-12-26; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Heat will beat/draw against Cavaliers ( 65% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-24; known on 2014-12-26; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Thunder will beat/draw against Spurs ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-24; known on 2014-12-26; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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The Wizards will beat/draw against the Knicks ( 53% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-24; known on 2014-12-26; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Liverpool will beat/draw against Burnley ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21; known on 2014-12-27; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Tottenham will beat/draw against Leicester City ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21; known on 2014-12-27; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Everton will beat/draw against Stoke City ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21; known on 2014-12-27; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Sunderland will beat/draw against Hull City ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21; known on 2014-12-27; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Man City will beat/draw against West Brom ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21; known on 2014-12-27; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Chelsea will beat/draw against West Ham ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21; known on 2014-12-27; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-27.
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Busy beaver number for 6 found by 2020. ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-20; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-20.
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By January 1, 2019 War between North Korea and at least one of the US, Britain, China, Japan, South Korea, or the collapse of the North Korean government. ( 25% confidence; 15 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-19; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.
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Joe will stab Roddy ( 20% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-17; known on 2150-12-17.
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The Queen will formally abdicate this year ( 3% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-12-18; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2016-01-05.
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Everyone will turn next up to the next rehearsal ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-17; known on 2014-12-18; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-18.
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I will get through to the next round of the BIO ( 20% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-17; known on 2014-12-19; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-05.
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Zero humans will have been in orbit around another planet by 2050 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by dvolk on 2014-12-17; known on 2050-01-01.
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Zero humans will set foot on Mars before 2100 ( 34% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by dvolk on 2014-12-17; known on 2100-01-01.
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I will score above 70 on the BIO ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-16; known on 2014-12-18; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-05.
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I will score above 60 on the BIO ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-16; known on 2014-12-18; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-05.
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Brent crude above $100/barrel at the beginning of 2016. (http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil-brent.aspx) ( 20% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by simplicio on 2014-12-15; known on 2016-01-02; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-03.
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West Ham will beat/draw against Leicester City ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-15; known on 2014-12-21; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21.
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Man City will beat/draw against Crystal Palace ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-15; known on 2014-12-21; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21.
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R will be at Monday's rehearsal ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-14; known on 2014-12-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-16.
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I will spend the full 3 hours on the BIO ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-14; known on 2014-12-17; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-16.
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The FTSE 100 will be over 9000 on January 16th 2016 ( 1% confidence; 6 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-13; known on 2016-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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The FTSE 100 will be below 7000 on January 16th ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-13; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by kuudes on 2015-01-16.
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Sunderland will beat/draw against West Ham ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-12; known on 2014-12-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-14.
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Man City will beat/draw against Leicester ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-12; known on 2014-12-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-14.
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The FTSE 100 will be valued at over 6100 in January http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/prices-and-markets/stocks/indices/summary/summary-indices.html?index=UKX ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-11; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by kuudes on 2015-01-16.
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Aleksa is my secret santa. ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by azax1 on 2014-12-10; known on 2014-12-17; judged right by azax1 on 2014-12-18.
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You – yes, you – do not actually possess a rudimentary self-consistent model of either rationality, yourself or the world around you that you consistently re-adjust using the feedback from this tool. ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers; 17 comments )
Created by reallyyesreally on 2014-12-03; known on 2015-07-02.
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Southampton will beat/draw against Burnley ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-10; known on 2014-12-14; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-14.
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Crystal Palace will beat/draw against Stoke ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-10; known on 2014-12-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-14.
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Sunderland will beat/draw against West Ham ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-09; known on 2014-12-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-14.
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Man City will beat/draw against Leicester ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-09; known on 2014-12-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-14.
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HPMOR – Hat & Cloak is one of Dumbledore, Quirrel, Voldermort, Future Harry, Lucius Malfoy, Nicholas Flamel, Baba Yaga, Severus Snape, Sirius Black, Peter Pettigrew, Gilderoy Lockhart, Grindelwald, Narcissa Malfoy, one of Hogwarts' founders, MadEye Moody, ( 86% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-08; known on 2015-03-16; judged right by 75th on 2015-03-13.
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HPMOR – Hat & Cloak is Snape ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-08; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-21.
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HPMOR – Nicolas Flamel is Baba quote undying unquote Yaga is Hat & Cloak ( 10% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-08; known on 2015-03-16; judged wrong by 75th on 2015-03-13.
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HPMOR – Nicolas Flamel is Baba quote undying unquote Yaga ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-08; known on 2015-03-16; judged wrong by solipsist on 2015-03-14.
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Theresa May to be next tory leader ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-12-06; known on 2018-01-01; judged right by kuudes on 2018-01-01.
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I will do the gig on the 20th ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-05; known on 2014-12-21; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-21.
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We will play T C tomorrow ( 30% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-04; known on 2014-12-06; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-05.
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We will play BN tomorrow ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-04; known on 2014-12-06; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-05.
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Below 10% of my predictions will be meta-predictions by 2016 ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-03; known on 2016-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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Below 10% of my predictions by 2016 will be about numbers of predictions ( 95% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-03; known on 2016-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16.
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There will be a Youtube video with more views (on Youtube) than there will be living humans before 2020. ( 63% confidence; 13 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Mati on 2014-12-03; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.
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QPR will beat/draw against Burnley ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-02; known on 2014-12-07; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-07.
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Arsenal will beat/draw against Stoke ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-02; known on 2014-12-07; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-07.
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Liverpool will beat/draw against Sunderland. ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-01; known on 2014-12-07; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-07.
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Chelsea will beat/draw against Newcastle ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-01; known on 2014-12-07; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-07.
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My startup Synaptitude raises at least $100,000 when we launch on Kickstarter sometime in Q1 (early) 2015: http://synaptitude.me/ ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by lettergram on 2014-11-30; known on 2015-05-01; judged wrong by lettergram on 2015-03-17.
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If I receive it, Trinity's reply will be positive ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-30; known on 2014-12-03; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-03.
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I will get a reply from Trinity before Wednesday ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-30; known on 2014-12-03; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-12-03.
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I have already received my PR time ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-29; known on 2014-11-29; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-29.
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I will go to Dawson's today ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-29; known on 2014-11-30; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-30.
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If I go to PR tomorrow, I will get a new PB. ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-28; known on 2014-11-29; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-29.
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I will go to PR tomorrow ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-28; known on 2014-11-29; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-29.