Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Displaying all predictions made by Hierophant. Filter by:
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i think accountant will change their mind ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Sesq on 2017-03-24; known on 2022-03-24; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-04-08.
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Unsongbook will have at least 100 but not more than 200 chapters and interludes when it is finished or has been abandoned for at least 1 year. ( 70% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by kuudes on 2016-01-24; known on 2026-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2017-05-18.
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Sweden declares war against any EU member state ( 0% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by kuudes on 2016-01-15; known on 2016-07-01; judged wrong by splorridge on 2016-07-01.
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Eliezer Yudkowsky to have at least 1 child by 2020 ( 22% confidence; 31 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by sdr on 2015-10-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-01-01.
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Hierophant will be unable to perform a task he wishes to perform within the next 4 years due to akrasia. ( 20% confidence )
Created by Hierophant on 2015-10-14; known on 2019-10-14.
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No human will land on another planet before 2050 and survive on that planet for at least 5 years. ( 54% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Hierophant on 2015-10-14; known on 2055-01-01.