Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 56% | 63% | 100% | 100% | 83% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
Displaying all predictions made by Andy. Filter by:
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Kelly Slater will win his 10th world title in 2010 ( 42% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by joloughlin on 2009-06-03; known on 2010-12-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-12-16.
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Billabong shares will increase by more that 10% within the next 2 months ( 62% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Andy on 2009-06-01; known on 2009-08-01; judged right by Andy on 2009-06-03.
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The Palm Pre will be an iPhone killer ( 24% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-31; known on 2010-05-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Button will be the world champion ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by vishnushashank on 2009-05-30; known on 2009-09-15; judged right by Matt on 2009-10-18.
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The sun will rise ( 100% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2009-05-25; known on 2009-05-26; judged right by Andy on 2009-05-26.
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It will be a girl. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Andy on 2009-05-15; known on 2009-11-16; judged right by Miyo on 2009-06-18.
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Volcom will dip below $10 again before the end of 2009 ( 58% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2009-04-24; known on 2009-12-31; judged wrong by Matt on 2010-01-25.
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The test is wrong: I will still be lactose intolerant ( 78% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2009-02-19; known on 2009-02-26; judged right by Andy on 2009-02-26.
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Westpac economist says the ASX will hit 3200 before turning around ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-11-19; known on 2009-06-19; judged wrong by Andy on 2009-03-02.
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Andrew Martin (Miyo's accountant contact) thinks that by May 2009, lots of small to mid size businesses will be for sale ( 80% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-11-19; known on 2009-05-25; judged right by Andy on 2009-05-26.
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Obama will lose, and the USA will have emigration explode to their highest ever rates ( 6% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-11-04; known on 2009-08-04; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-11-05.
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The ASX will drop below 4200 again in November this year ( 57% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-11-04; known on 2008-12-01; judged right by Andy on 2008-12-02.
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Miyo will make a prediction within 5 minutes ( 95% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-11-04; known on 2008-11-04; judged right by Andy on 2008-11-04.
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$3.19 will have been a good buying price for Quiksilver. ( 61% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Andy on 2008-10-10; known on 2009-04-10; judged wrong by Andy on 2009-04-10.
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Quiksilver shares are better value at $3.62 than they were at $5.08 ( 100% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-10-09; known on 2008-10-10; judged right by Andy on 2008-10-09.
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Quiksilver shares will double inside 30 months ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Andy on 2008-10-06; known on 2011-04-06; judged wrong by Andy on 2011-04-06.
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Billabong shares will climb from $11.30 to over $13.50 within 6 months ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Andy on 2008-08-23; known on 2009-02-23; judged right by Andy on 2008-10-06.
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Within 2 days I will wish I had put the certainty on my last prediction at a higher percentage ( 92% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2008-07-24; judged right by Andy on 2008-08-26.
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That falafel I had for lunch will come back to say hello ( 90% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2008-07-22; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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PBook will become a fun way of sending messages to friends. ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2009-01-22; judged right by Lina on 2009-05-14.
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Electrodrive will post 2 new news items a month for the rest of the year ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Lina on 2008-07-16; known on 2009-01-01; judged right by Lina on 2009-05-14.
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I will be able to use Facebook for some mild professional benefit within the next 6 months ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-16; known on 2009-01-16; judged right by Andy on 2009-10-19.
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Between 20 and 40% of friend requests will be from people that I don't really want as friends (but I awkwardly accept anyway) ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-23; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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After releuctantly joining Facebook, I will end up with over 25 friend requests within the first week. Unsolicited. ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-23; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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I'll be able to convince Westpac to handle Ruth's account changes without going to the branch ( 48% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-07-15; known on 2008-07-21; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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1AUD will be worth greater than 1USD before the year is out ( 61% confidence; 5 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2009-01-01; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-01-08.
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Over the next year I will use PBook more than Twitter to update friends on what I'm up to (like that falafel thing) ( 92% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2009-07-22; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-27.
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Quiksilver shares will finish the year above $11 ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-01; known on 2008-01-01; judged wrong by Andy on 2009-07-04.
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Telstra iphone contracts will be significantly more expensive than Optus ( 67% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-10; known on 2008-07-11; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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My 6'0" will feel way better with DHD-2's rather than K2.1's ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-18; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Windfinder will be more accurate than Coastalwatch or Swellnet for tomorrow mornings winds ( 75% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-08; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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There will be 3 significant stock market dips in 2008 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-01; known on 2009-01-01; judged right by Lina on 2009-05-14.