Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 25% | 71% | 56% | 70% | 78% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 8 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 64 |
Displaying all predictions made by iterate-again. Filter by:
-
Greater Melbourne area (or any part) will come out of stage 4 lockdown at or before 11.59pm on Wednesday 17 Feb 2021 ( 20% confidence; 6 comments )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-02-12; known on 2021-02-18; judged right by iterate-again on 2021-02-18.
-
in bed (by promise definition) by 11.15pm on 16th, having done the dangers list thing for 5mins starting before 11pm ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-16; known on 2021-01-17; judged wrong by iterate-again on 2021-01-18.
-
My WAM for sem 1 2021 will be 90+ ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-16; known on 2021-06-15; judged wrong by iterate-again on 2022-01-01.
-
I will complete an AI based project which I can reasonably put on my CV for (computing) RA and internship apps by the start of sem 1 ( 35% confidence )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known on 2021-03-01; judged wrong by iterate-again on 2021-03-06.
-
I will meet definition of 'literally homeless' at some point before December 30th 2022 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known on 2022-12-30.
-
conditional on looking for a house with nico/sarah/noel, i will end up moving into one with them with $600 or lower rent ( 30% confidence )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known on 2021-03-14; judged right by iterate-again on 2021-03-06.
-
I will have 1 or more friend daylios with tyler in July of this year ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known on 2021-08-01; judged right by iterate-again on 2022-01-01.
-
I will make at least 3 and resolve at least 3 predictions (on predictionbook or another prediction app/site) in each full week in feb ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known on 2021-03-01; judged wrong by iterate-again on 2021-03-06.
-
in bed (by promise definition) by 10.15pm on 17th, having done the dangers list thing for 5mins starting before 10pm ( 90% confidence )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-16; known on 2021-01-18; judged wrong by iterate-again on 2021-01-18.
-
My average estimated sleep time for week of Jan 16th will be 8 hours or greater ( 6% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-15; known on 2021-01-23; judged wrong by iterate-again on 2021-01-25.
-
My daylio monthly average mood for Feb 2021 will be +0.5 or greater (on usual scoring system) ( 2% confidence )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-15; known on 2021-03-01; judged wrong by iterate-again on 2021-03-06.
-
I will make an appointment/ask to make an appointment with a therapist by 15th Feb 2021 ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-15; known on 2021-02-15; judged right by iterate-again on 2021-02-11.
-
I will be in bed by 10.45pm tonight 15 Jan (according to definition I was using for promises, w/o the 'friends approve' exceptions), ( 30% confidence )
Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-15; known on 2021-01-15; judged wrong by iterate-again on 2021-01-16.
-
By July 2021, China will invade Taiwan. The invasion will take longer than anticipated and as a result China will use biological weapons. The USA and EU will do nothing. ( 4% confidence; 19 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Random on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-07-31; judged wrong by D0TheMath on 2021-07-31.