Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 93% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 25 |
Displaying all predictions made by CrystalBall. Filter by:
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The Boy Scouts will admit openly atheist scouts before 2050 ( 79% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by btrettel on 2015-07-28; known on 2050-01-01.
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Conditional on Scotland voting yes, Cameron resigns within a month ( 10% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-09-10; known on 2014-10-15.
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Cameron is still the leader of the Conservatives at the end of the year. ( 80% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-09-10; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-01-02.
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An alive human has been on mars soil and returned to earth safely before year 2100. ( 57% confidence; 18 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by nshepperd on 2014-09-08; known on 2100-01-01.
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Islamic terrorist attack in the UK kills at least one this month. ( 4% confidence; 13 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-08-29; known on 2014-09-29; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2014-09-29.