Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
Displaying all predictions made by RedScharlach. Filter by:
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[Politics] The Mueller investigation will not produce any criminal charges against Trump ( 64% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2020-11-03; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-06-22.
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[Politics] Trump will be elected for a second term ( 45% confidence; 14 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2020-11-03; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-11-07.
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[Politics] Trump will remain president for the expected duration of his first term ( 86% confidence; 15 wagers )
Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2021-01-20; judged right by jbeshir on 2021-01-21.
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[Baseball] The New York Mets will win the World Series in 2019 ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2019-10-30; judged wrong by rei5025 on 2019-11-11.
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[Baseball] The New York Mets will make it to The World Series in 2019 ( 10% confidence )
Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2019-10-22; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-10-09.
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[Baseball] The New York Mets will make the playoffs in 2019 ( 60% confidence )
Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2019-10-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-28.
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[Politics] Canada to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q2 EOQ ( 7% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-07-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-01.
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[Politics] The US to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q1 EOQ ( 2% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-04-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-04-01.
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[Politics] Canada to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q1 EOQ ( 5% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-04-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-04-01.
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[Politics] The US to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q2 EOQ ( 3% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-07-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-01.