Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 67% | 70% | 82% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 3 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 32 |
Displaying all predictions made by dmz. Filter by:
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My telehealth appointment today will result in a metformin prescription for reducing long covid risk. ( 60% confidence )
Created by dmz on 2023-07-07; known on 2023-07-08; judged wrong by dmz on 2023-07-07.
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Vanguard will successfully unlock my account on Friday or before ( 40% confidence )
Created by dmz on 2023-04-26; known on 2023-04-29; judged wrong by dmz on 2023-05-01.
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Vanguard support will call me back when they promised to. (9am Friday) ( 60% confidence )
Created by dmz on 2023-04-26; known on 2023-04-28; judged wrong by dmz on 2023-04-28.
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Capitalism will collapse. Federal gov won't exist. Peak oil ( 12% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Musrang on 2023-03-21; known on 2027-01-01.
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SpaceX will NOT land people on Mars by 2030. ( 55% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Lunchroom1685 on 2023-03-20; known on 2030-01-01.
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I will test negative for covid the morning of 12/2 ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by dmz on 2022-12-01; known on 2022-12-02; judged right by dmz on 2022-12-02.
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I will test negative for covid around noon on 12/1 ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by dmz on 2022-11-30; known on 2022-12-01; judged wrong by dmz on 2022-12-01.
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I will test negative for covid the morning of 11/30 ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by dmz on 2022-11-29; known on 2022-11-30; judged wrong by dmz on 2022-11-30.
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I'm about to test negative for covid ( 25% confidence )
Created by dmz on 2022-11-29; known on 2022-11-29; judged wrong by dmz on 2022-11-29.
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I have covid ( 60% confidence )
Created by dmz on 2022-11-20; known on 2022-12-01; judged right by dmz on 2022-11-26.