Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Displaying all predictions made by robo45h. Filter by:
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Iran's current regime will continue its nuclear program — or be overthrown — rather than accept the current (Oct 2009) offer to have nuclear materials processed elsewhere (such as Russia). ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by robo45h on 2009-11-13; known on 2010-11-13; judged right by gwern on 2010-11-13.
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Iran's current regime will be collapse within the next ten years. ( 29% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by kess3r on 2009-10-15; known on 2019-10-15; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-10-16.