Upcoming Predictions
-
War won't happen between China and Usa before June 2030 ( 66% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by randomlurker13 on 2012-11-25; known on 2030-06-01.
-
“On or before 8 June 2030, there will exist a computer language or programming system in which the prototypical first program, traditionally called “Hello, world!”, will have an executable file whose size exceeds 1 gigabyte.” ( 9% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2030-06-08.
-
I have voted for the UK conservative party in a general election ( 55% confidence )
Created by penten on 2017-06-23; known on 2030-06-16.
-
As of the end of 2030, nobody lives on less than the international poverty line. ( 3% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-06-30.
-
WWIII starts before 2030. ( 8% confidence; 14 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Dak on 2015-07-31; known on 2030-07-01; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-03.
-
Brazil will beat Argentina in the 2030 World Cup Final in Beonas Aires. ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday, Sam will still be alive and I will still be married to him. ( 90% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday, I will be living in the US. ( 88% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday, I will be living in the greater Boston area. ( 45% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday I will be employed and working in a data science-y or programmerish occupation. ( 65% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday, I will have had 4 or more children (excluding offspring from selling eggs). ( 10% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday, I will have had 2 children (excluding offspring from selling eggs). ( 25% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday, I will have had 0 children (excluding offspring from selling eggs). ( 15% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday, I will have had 1 child (excluding offspring from selling eggs). ( 25% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
On my 40th birthday I will be a vegetarian or pescetarian. ( 70% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-05-04; known on 2030-07-31.
-
I will get married before 30 ( 57% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by thebaelfire on 2017-07-14; known on 2030-09-09.
-
The user 8 will not complete his APL project. ( 100% confidence )
Created by bingbingwahoo on 2021-11-12; known on 2030-11-10.
-
By 2030 around one billion people in Zhongguo would be middle class — approximately 70% of its projected population. ( 95% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2030-12-03.
-
By 2030, Zhongguo will have 27% of the estimated 300 million 25-34 yr old graduates ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-11.
-
Computers will die out and Artificial Intelligence will take over by 2030 – http://www.smh.com.au/small-business/blogs/work-in-progress/internet-via-contact-lenses-as-computers-die-out-20110527-1f6t0.html ( 21% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-05-29; known on 2030-12-15.
-
Bharat's middle class will reach 475 million by 2030. ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2030-12-25.
-
By 2030, Bharat will have 23% of the estimated 300 million 25-34 yr old graduates. ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
-
Europe and the United States will be lagging well behind with 8% and 4% of STEM graduates by 2030 respectively —OECD ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
-
Bharat and Zhongguo will account for more than 60% of the OECD and G20 STEM graduates. ( 83% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
-
BRIICS countries will produce 75% global STEM graduates by 2030. ( 86% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
-
By 2030, USA will have 8% of the estimated 300 million 25-34 yr old graduates ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
-
By 2030, EU will have 7% of the estimated 300 million 25-34 yr old graduates ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2030-12-25.
-
55% of CO² emitted in 2030 will be produced by states that have reached peak levels —World Resources Institute ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-06; known on 2030-12-25.
-
Bharat will eliminate malaria by 2030. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-14; known on 2030-12-25.
-
World will eliminate malaria by 2030. ( 69% confidence; 13 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-14; known on 2030-12-25.
-
By 2030 child malnutrition(underweight) in Bharat will fall to 7.4%. ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2030-12-25.
-
Bharat will have 294 5th gen fighters – 50% more than the USAF F-22s. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-24; known on 2030-12-25.
-
Malnutrition trends in Bharat:By 2030 Wasting among under 3 children will be at 0%. ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2030-12-25.
-
Chief of the World Coal Association (WCA) Benjamin Sporton “Demand for coal in 2040 globally will be 33 % bigger than it is now. " ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-03; known on 2030-12-25.
-
PRC troops will be on the ground in California by 31 December 2030. ( 9% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by najdorf on 2020-09-10; known on 2030-12-31.
-
California will secede by 31 December 2030. ( 11% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by najdorf on 2020-09-10; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Texas will secede by 31 December 2030. ( 14% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by najdorf on 2020-09-10; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Javascript is still the dominant programming language in browsers by 2030 ( 78% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by qznc on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Someone sells a hoverboard by 2030 ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by qznc on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Joe Rogan will host a presidential debate in the next ten years ( 16% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by qznc on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Some car company will sell SAE level 3 cars in the next 10 years. ( 81% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by qznc on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Waymo still uses safety drivers in 10 years or closes down ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by qznc on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-12-31.
-
There will be a Robotaxi available somewhere ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by qznc on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Google still has more than 66% market share for search by 2030 ( 73% confidence; 12 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by qznc on 2020-01-03; known on 2030-12-31.
-
I am diagnosed with Parkinson's disease ( 9% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-07-13; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Bharat will reduce emission intensity of the economy by 35% from its 2005 level by 2030 ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-02; known on 2030-12-31.
-
jason scott still alive, running a javascript emulator ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-30; known on 2030-12-31.
-
github still exists ( 30% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-30; known on 2030-12-31.
-
250 GW of solar and 100 GW wind power by 2030. 40 % of Bharat's total power capacity(850 GW estimate) will come from renewable sources by 2030. Official Climate change pledge. ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-06; known on 2030-12-31.
-
Globish(a minimalistic dialect of English used for international buisness) will be the de facto language of Europe by 2030 ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Keller on 2011-12-16; known on 2030-12-31.