Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Displaying all predictions made by graehl. Filter by:
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User Epiphany will cease commenting or posting on LW within a month ( 8% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by gwern on 2012-09-03; known on 2012-10-03; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-10-03.
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Scott Siskind will stil be an atheist by 2014. ( 96% confidence; 14 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Kaj_Sotala on 2012-08-22; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by ygert on 2013-12-31.