Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 56% | 48% | 62% | 88% | 88% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 34 | 67 | 58 | 32 | 48 | 4 | 243 |
Displaying all predictions made by KatjaGrace. Filter by:
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I will work for at least 8h today ( 55% confidence )
Created by KatjaGrace on 2019-01-19; known on 2019-01-19; judged right by KatjaGrace on 2019-01-19.
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I will mark this prediction as false ( 50% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by KatjaGrace on 2011-06-02; known on 2011-06-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-03.
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The paper I'm reading about the implications of an infinite number of people in every situation in the universe will conclude that we can still be ethical ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by KatjaGrace on 2010-01-15; known on 2010-01-17; judged right by KatjaGrace on 2010-01-16.
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I will post a blog post on anthropics within one week ( 70% confidence )
Created by KatjaGrace on 2010-01-15; known on 2010-01-22; judged wrong by KatjaGrace on 2010-01-26.