Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 20% | 67% | 0% | 40% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
Displaying all predictions made by grin. Filter by:
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Using my webcam teleprompter will bring me joy ( 85% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by grin on 2020-09-04; known on 2020-11-01.
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we help P produce his podcast ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by grin on 2020-09-10; known on 2020-11-10.
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https://appfairness.org or a similar campaign gets Apple to either lower their fee or pull their own apps from the store ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by grin on 2020-09-24; known on 2021-09-24; judged right by stepan on 2021-09-27.
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Basement construction will be finished by Oct 2 EOD ( 55% confidence )
Created by grin on 2020-09-21; known on 2020-10-03; judged wrong by grin on 2020-10-05.
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P posts his podcast to lbry ( 65% confidence )
Created by grin on 2020-09-10; known on 2020-11-10; judged wrong by grin on 2020-11-10.
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I will judge my decision to pay for wop+ to be a good investment in 18 months ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by grin on 2020-09-07; known on 2022-03-07.
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I will judge my decision to pay for wop+ to be a good investment in 6 months ( 69% confidence )
Created by grin on 2020-09-07; known on 2021-03-07; judged right by grin on 2021-03-12.
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I'll finish my webcam teleprompter and use it on at least one full call in September ( 73% confidence )
Created by grin on 2020-09-04; known on 2020-10-01; judged wrong by grin on 2020-10-01.
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Basement construction will be finished by Sept 18 EOD ( 55% confidence )
Created by grin on 2020-09-04; known on 2020-09-19; judged wrong by grin on 2020-09-19.
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Basement construction will be finished by Sept 25 EOD ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by grin on 2020-09-04; known on 2020-09-26; judged wrong by grin on 2020-09-26.
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Basement construction will be finished by Sept 18 EOD ( 85% confidence )
Created by grin on 2020-09-04; known on 2020-09-19.
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I will make at least 30 predictions in september ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by grin on 2020-09-02; known on 2020-10-01; judged wrong by grin on 2020-10-01.
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I will send my newsletter on time ( 95% confidence )
Created by grin on 2020-09-02; known on 2020-09-02; judged right by grin on 2020-09-03.
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Trump will win a second term ( 46% confidence; 74 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by regex on 2017-01-30; known on 2020-11-08; judged wrong by regex on 2020-11-20.