Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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I go to at least 2 music concerts ( 70% confidence )
Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged right by JTPeterson on 2018-05-29.
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Kristofic to beat Raska at Oktagon 6 ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-05-27; judged right by Cato on 2018-05-29.
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Tsarukyan to beat Pfister at KLF/MFP 220 ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-05-27; judged right by Cato on 2018-05-29.
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Dias to beat Machado at Shooto Brasil 84 ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-26; known on 2018-05-27; judged right by Cato on 2018-05-29.
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[In the 2018 NBA Playoffs,] Golden State will beat Houston. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by davatk on 2018-05-10; known on 2018-05-30; judged right by davatk on 2018-05-29.
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[In the 2018 NBA Playoffs,] Cleveland will beat Boston. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by davatk on 2018-05-10; known on 2018-05-30; judged right by davatk on 2018-05-29.
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HLSGives generates 30 career 1FTW pledges ( 60% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-02-15; known on 2018-05-25; judged wrong by Mjreard on 2018-05-26.
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The next iPhone number will be 10, skipping 8 & 9. ( 26% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2016-11-26; known on 2018-05-26; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2018-05-26.
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The referendum on the Irish 8th Amendment will pass. ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-25; known on 2018-05-26; judged right by davatk on 2018-05-26.
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Politics, Venezuela – Nicolas Maduro announced as winner of the 2018 presidential elections. ( 72% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-02-10; known on 2018-06-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2018-05-26.
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Vamos conseguir trabalhar na tradução do livro Doing Good Better do Will MacAskill ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by guisamora on 2017-06-26; known on 2018-05-01; judged wrong by guisamora on 2018-05-25.
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I will get an offer for contract work with $60/hour rate. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-05-20; known on 2018-05-22; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-05-24.
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I will see Les Mis ( 90% confidence )
Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-05-18; judged right by JTPeterson on 2018-05-22.
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I do not visit a foreign country for 7+ days ( 80% confidence )
Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-05-22.
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I do not travel to Asia, Europe, or South America ( 70% confidence )
Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-05-22.
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I will earn a P in Criminal Procedure ( 80% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-04-26; known on 2018-05-25; judged right by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will get a P in Corporations ( 75% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-05-04; known on 2018-05-25; judged right by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will get a P in Antitrust ( 85% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-05-04; known on 2018-05-25; judged right by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will get an H in Legal Profession ( 65% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-05-04; known on 2018-05-25; judged wrong by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will get an H* in Legal Profession ( 35% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-05-04; known on 2018-05-25; judged right by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will LP Antitrust ( 10% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-05-04; known on 2018-05-25; judged wrong by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will H Criminal Procedure ( 20% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-05-04; known on 2018-05-25; judged wrong by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will H Corporations ( 25% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-05-04; known on 2018-05-25; judged wrong by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will H Antitrust ( 5% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-05-04; known on 2018-05-25; judged wrong by Mjreard on 2018-05-21.
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I will not see the 'Humanity Star' satellite before it deorbits. ( 90% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-01-25; known on 2018-10-01; judged right by Athrithalix on 2018-05-21.
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Google will survive for five more years ( 97% confidence; 38 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by NancyLebovitz on 2013-05-19; known on 2018-05-19; judged right by NancyLebovitz on 2018-05-19.
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Lee to beat Yamaguchi at ONE on May 18 ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-17; known on 2018-05-19; judged right by Cato on 2018-05-19.
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[I will have finished the deep learning course by] May 13 ( 51% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Bruno Parga on 2018-02-20; known on 2018-06-04; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-05-17.
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I'll finish 25alg + 2prob cards in 1+1/2 pomodoros (~35 minutes) ( 60% confidence )
Created by njmpether on 2018-05-17; known on 2018-05-17; judged right by njmpether on 2018-05-17.
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Google Chrome OS will survive 5 years ( 75% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-05-03; known on 2018-05-02; judged right by crabman on 2018-05-16.
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SpaceX will launch a Dragon or Dragon-derived vehicle to the surface of Mars in the 2018 launch window. ( 45% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by olivia on 2016-05-26; known on 2018-05-10; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-05-16.
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AMD's stock hits $20 ( 43% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by lettergram on 2017-10-27; known on 2018-05-16; judged wrong by lettergram on 2018-05-16.
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The first flight of the Block 5 Falcon 9 carrying the Bangabandhu 1 will successfully orbit the payload and perform a low stress landing. ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-05-15; judged right by Athrithalix on 2018-05-15.
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[Liga MX – Clausura SF second leg ] Deportivo Toluca beats Club Tijuana ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-14; known on 2018-05-14; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-14.
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[Liga MX – Clausura SF second leg ] CF América does not lose to Santos Laguna ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-14; known on 2018-05-14; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-14.
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In 3 years, I will believe that functionalism is the most correct theory of mind. ( 90% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2015-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged right by Michael Dickens on 2018-05-14.
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Nunes will beat Pennington at UFC 224. ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-13; judged right by Cato on 2018-05-13.
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[I will have finished the deep learning course by] May 6 ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Bruno Parga on 2018-02-20; known on 2018-06-04; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-05-13.
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[Bundesliga – Round 34] Hamburger SV does not lose to Borussia Mönchengladbach ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-12.
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[Bundesliga – Round 34] Schalke 04 does not lose Eintracht Frankfurt ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-12.
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[Bundesliga – Round 34] Bayern Munich does not lose to Stuttgart ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-12.
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[Bundesliga – Round 34] Wolfsburg does not lose FC Köln ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-12.
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[Bundesliga – Round 34] Freiburg beats Augsburg ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-12.
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[Bundesliga – Round 34] Hoffenheim does not lose to Borussia Dortmund ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-12.
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[Bundesliga – Round 34] Mainz 05 does not lose to Werder Bremen ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-12.
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[Bundesliga – Round 34] Bayer Leverkusen does not lose to Hannover 96 ( 90% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-05-12; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-12.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Marie uses some variation on Hippimancy to neutralise Jillian. ( 17% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-18; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-05-11.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Marie uses some variation on Eyemancy to neutralise Jillian. ( 13% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-18; known on 2018-07-02; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-05-11.
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[Primeira Liga – Round 34] Chaves does not lose to Desportivo das Aves ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-11; known on 2018-05-11; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-11.
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[Ligue 2 – Round 38] RC Lens does not lose to AJ Auxerre ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-11; known on 2018-05-11; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-11.