Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 67% | 80% | 71% | 100% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 22 |
Displaying all predictions made by Eunseo. Filter by:
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The model predicts that by 2012, almost half of the 50 states would vote against a marriage ban, including several states that had previously voted to ban it. —Nate Silver ( 44% confidence; 7 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-10; known on 2012-01-31.
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Korea will keep the record as the first ranking of suicide rate till end of 2011. ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-05-29; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2013-01-01.
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Sandra will win in prediction competition at the end of semester. ( 77% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-06-18; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-06-17.
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Jess will be back in the labs before midnight ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-06-04; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-05.
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My laptop will get fixed by Wednesday. ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-06-01; judged wrong by Jessica Hartany on 2011-06-01.
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I will not drink any alcohol till final design presentation. ( 50% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-06-15; judged right by Eunseo on 2011-06-17.
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I will finish my time line infographic of floating city formation by tommorrow. ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-30; judged right by Eunseo on 2011-05-30.
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There will be a terrorist attack on the US within the next month. ( 7% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-03; known on 2011-06-03; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-03.
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I will write on blog 3 times during Easter holiday. ( 67% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-04-20; known on 2011-04-26; judged wrong by Eunseo on 2011-04-26.
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After Easter holiday, the temperature will be down more than 5 degrees. ( 29% confidence )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-04-20; known on 2011-04-27; judged wrong by Eunseo on 2011-05-26.
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This summer in North hemisphere will be the hottest weather ever. ( 21% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-04-11; known on 2011-09-16; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-09-18.
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Northern hemisphere will be frozen into ice age by 2012 ( 5% confidence; 19 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-04-10; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-12-12.
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I will do some research for tidal energy generation system tonight. ( 76% confidence )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-04-09; known on 2011-04-10; judged wrong by Eunseo on 2011-04-10.
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I will finish tutorial 1 tonight for project management subject. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-04-07; known on 2011-04-07; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-04-07.
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Dumun and I will be in same group in Sustainable Urban Development. ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-04-01; known on 2011-04-02; judged wrong by Eunseo on 2011-04-02.
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I will clearn our unit bathroom tomorrow. ( 73% confidence )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-31; known on 2011-04-01; judged right by Eunseo on 2011-04-01.
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I will finish my bus station 1section and 1 structure detail drawings by 2 am on 28 March 2011. ( 67% confidence )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-27; known on 2011-03-28; judged wrong by Eunseo on 2011-03-31.
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Volcano will accur on Baekdu Mountain within 2mounths. ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-18; known on 2011-05-18; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-05-22.
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I will go to morning yoga class on 18 of March 2011. ( 30% confidence )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-17; known on 2011-03-18; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-20.
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I will win $50 in prediction competition at the end of this term. ( 16% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-06-10; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-06-17.
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I will finish reading at least 3 chaters and papers by friday. ( 56% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged right by wael on 2011-03-09.
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Tamara(tutor of FPM) will give a chance to us to have Frank Gery's lecture next Tuesday (15th of March 2011). ( 65% confidence )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-15; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-16.
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My house mate declared that she has quited smoking from today. However, she will restart smoking in a week. ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-14; judged right by Eunseo on 2011-03-08.