Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 88% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
Displaying all predictions made by henryaj. Filter by:
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COVID, UK – Pubs have restricted opening hours (including but not requiring full closure), at the national level, before end of September 2020. Counts even if subsequently lifted. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2020-09-19; known on 2020-10-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2020-10-04.
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erowid.org still exists with its full archive available to the public, on May 1 2024 ( 77% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by finback on 2020-09-18; known on 2024-05-01.
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The phosphine detected on Venus is widely agreed among the scientific community to be from life. ( 2% confidence; 12 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Deepak on 2020-09-16; known on 2025-09-16.
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Joe Biden won't be on the ballot in November. ( 5% confidence; 20 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by unexpectedEOF on 2020-09-03; known on 2020-11-03; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-11-19.
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UK schools will close again due a significant rise in COVID cases by 15th Oct 2020 ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2020-09-01; known on 2020-10-16; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-10-16.
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Satoshi Nakamoto will have at one point been the world's richest person by 11:59 pm, December 31st, 2019. ( 24% confidence; 9 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by dchristie on 2018-01-12; known on 2019-12-31; judged wrong by dchristie on 2020-01-01.
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Trump will leave office early instead of being impeached. ( 20% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Dr K on 2018-01-07; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-09-02.
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Main bitcoin branch/fork valued at $27,395 bitstampUSD ( 23% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-11; known on 2018-02-11; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-02-12.