Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
Displaying all predictions made by Benquo. Filter by:
-
Humboldt Fog will be super popular (written up as super trendy in a mainstream publication) at some point before 2020 ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Benquo on 2015-02-14; known on 2020-12-31.
-
http://slatestarcodex.com/2014/04/09/dermatology-pop-quiz/ 2 is false ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Benquo on 2014-04-10; known on 2014-05-02; judged wrong by Benquo on 2014-04-11.
-
http://slatestarcodex.com/2014/04/09/dermatology-pop-quiz/ 1 is false ( 50% confidence )
Created by Benquo on 2014-04-10; known on 2014-05-01; judged wrong by Benquo on 2014-04-11.
-
http://slatestarcodex.com/2014/04/09/dermatology-pop-quiz/ is false ( 50% confidence )
Created by Benquo on 2014-04-10; known on 2014-05-01.
-
There will be no direct “hot”/shooting military conflict between any of the US, France, Germany, the UK, and Russia in 2014 ( 94% confidence; 15 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Benquo on 2014-03-11; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-01-02.
-
The unflavored Pedialyte will not taste discernibly worse than the flavored Pedialyte when I try it. ( 60% confidence )
Created by Benquo on 2014-02-22; known on 2014-02-22; judged right by Benquo on 2014-02-22.
-
August was just joking that Barolo is a scam, and won't be able to recommend a great cheap alternative. ( 90% confidence )
Created by Benquo on 2014-02-14; known on 2014-02-15; judged wrong by Benquo on 2014-02-15.
-
Adina and Baaboo will have dinner with Maxine and me tonight. ( 50% confidence )
Created by Benquo on 2014-02-09; known on 2014-02-10; judged right by Benquo on 2014-02-14.
-
My hat turns up at Rosanne's home ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Benquo on 2013-12-30; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by Benquo on 2014-01-01.
-
Chris Dixon: Amazon.com will be using bitcoins in 5 years (by 1/1/2019) ( 33% confidence; 26 wagers; 14 comments )
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-12-13; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.