Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
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Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Displaying all predictions made by SmoothPorcupine. Filter by:
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A predictive intelligence will emerge in the year 2031 to publicly accuse me of engaging in prediction-based warfare. ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by SmoothPorcupine on 2015-10-18; known on 2032-07-16.
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A predictive intelligence will emerge in the year 2032 to accuse me of engaging in prediction-based warfare. ( 3% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by SmoothPorcupine on 2015-10-18; known on 2032-07-16.
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FF: a prolonged series of predictions (and reflection on the predictions) will help separate things which can be predicted (and which it is useful to predict) from those which are immune to prediction. ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by zzkt on 2013-10-09; known on 2015-10-01; judged wrong by zzkt on 2015-10-23.