Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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this will format kinda ( 90% confidence; 10 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-16; known on 2008-08-16; judged right on 2008-08-17.
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we will need pagination on the front page ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-09; known on 2008-08-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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austhink credit credit and paypal payment will be published live ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-09; known on 2008-08-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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ambiguous (and proably contradictorily worded) predictions will have some means of 'in app' resolution ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-08-16; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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prologue is to epilogue as preface is to postface ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-29; judged right on 2008-08-16.
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Matt will be happy he will no longer be able to be instantly Rick rolled ( 95% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-16; known on 2008-08-23; judged right on 2008-08-16.
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this will be the most important prediction EVER ( 100% confidence; 8 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-30; known on 2008-07-31; judged right on 2008-08-16.
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1337 is Lupus ( 1% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2011-08-14; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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crontab will work ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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I will get an email ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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I will get an email ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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a confidence of 0 will break ( 0% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged wrong on 2008-08-14.
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a prediction with a confidence of 0 will break pbook and i'll have to fix it manually ( 0% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-08-26.
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this will NOT email me when i tickle it. yet ( 90% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-15; judged right on 2008-08-14.
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Using ✔ and ✘ on the main page (though not the user page) is elitist behaviour that will be destroyed within a week. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-02; known on 2008-08-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-14.
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this will email me a reminder when i tickle it ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged right on 2008-08-14.
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The existing crmhub api will allow licenses to be retrieved from an email address (but may require multiple requests) ( 85% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Matt on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-20; judged wrong by Adam on 2008-08-14.
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PredictionBook will have an Alpha server running by June 20, 2008 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-06-20; judged right on 2008-08-14.
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case just now ADEM, Lymphoma, Mets ( 90% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-12; known on 2008-08-13; judged right on 2008-08-12.
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case just now lymphoma ( 60% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-12; known on 2008-08-13; judged right on 2008-08-12.
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14840002 = pap thyroid to node ( 65% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-07; known on 2008-10-01; judged right on 2008-08-12.
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14840002 = TB or Pap T4 to nodes ( 95% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-07; known on 2008-10-01; judged right on 2008-08-12.
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14546870 = scc of rt scm node ( 70% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-07; known on 2008-10-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-12.
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7381792 = meningioma ( 95% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-19; known on 2008-08-16; judged wrong on 2008-08-12.
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The CrmHub api will allow the license key to be checked with only license key as input ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-08-11; known on 2008-08-12; judged wrong on 2008-08-11.
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The CrmHub api will allow all license keys to be retreived using an email address ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-08-11; known on 2008-08-12; judged wrong on 2008-08-11.
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Within 2 days I will wish I had put the certainty on my last prediction at a higher percentage ( 92% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2008-07-24; judged right by Andy on 2008-08-26.
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7370034 = met ( 75% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-19; known on 2008-08-16; judged right on 2008-08-07.
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of the 7 herbs etc planted, at least 6 will survive and thrive ( 80% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-06; known on 2008-08-06; judged right on 2008-08-07.
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14749874 = cystic meningioma ( 90% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-24; known on 2008-09-16; judged right on 2008-08-07.
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the human eye is at its full size at birth ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-04; known on 2008-08-04; judged wrong on 2008-08-04.
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Robbie Rotten's plans will once again be thwarted ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-31; known on 2008-08-02; judged right on 2008-08-02.
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Sigur Rós will be awesome but the sound will suck ( 85% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Adam on 2008-08-01; known on 2008-08-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Trike staff will eat all the chocolates and raise money for charity ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Chantelle on 2008-07-10; known on 2008-07-24; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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People will wonder why it has the form for creating a prediction when you're not logged in ( 90% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-01; known on 2008-08-06; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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When I click the link in Glenn's bogus comment in my name, it'll be Rick ( 95% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Matt on 2008-08-01; known on 2008-08-01; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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That falafel I had for lunch will come back to say hello ( 90% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2008-07-22; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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We will finish user accounts by 5pm ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-01; known on 2008-08-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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The Hindenburg Disaster caused 6 or fewer deaths ( 80% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-08-01; known on 2008-08-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Mailer logging will take < 4 hours ( 80% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-30; known on 2008-08-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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not being able to comment on your own prediction is silly ( 90% confidence; 12 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-30; known on 2008-02-15; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Against what I've always throught, I (Glenn) am primarily protanomalous, not deuteranomalous. ( 90% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-28; known on 2008-07-27; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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My quote for Urban was too low ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-07-23; known on 2008-07-24; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Ferret will not fail until friday ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-07-23; known on 2008-07-25; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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my bike will be ready to be picked up on time ( 80% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-22; known on 2008-07-23; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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toenail will fall of by midnight ( 70% confidence )
Created by Natalie on 2008-07-20; known on 2008-07-21; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Within 10 seconds, Charlottle will wriggle out of her current position ( 70% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-07-18; known on 2008-07-18; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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6994767 right temp mass will not be a tumour when resected ( 55% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-18; known on 2009-04-16; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Glenn will get bored of posting bogus predictions in 2 weeks ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-30; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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failed posting as a new name reverts to session stored name will be fixed by end of friday ( 95% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-20; judged right on 2008-08-01.