Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 53% | 59% | 70% | 78% | 87% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 138 | 156 | 130 | 125 | 118 | 8 | 675 |
Displaying all predictions made by KnaveOfAllTrades. Filter by:
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Paul Lansky is alive ( 57% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-30; known on 2015-03-30; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-30.
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I tidy my room and send that e-mail in the next 24.25 hours ( 51% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-23; known on 2015-03-25; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-25.
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I see J at P ( 78% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-20; known on 2015-03-21; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-21.
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'Today', I do gym and track stuff then my first BK of the day ( 35% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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I do gym and track stuff 'today' ( 80% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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I go to RDT birthday pre-drinks ( 70% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-28; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-28.
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Meet up with G on that day ( 45% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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I'll catch that train ( 10% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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DMT read first 99 chapters of HPMoR or said they had caught it up ( 28% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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One or t'other sees both BKB's in/around P ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-03-17.
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He doesn't take any of that lecture, conditional on eclipse roughly as described, as agreed by prediction setters ( 46% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-21; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-03-22.
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F accepts L Friend Request by the midnight ending Sunday, conditional on it being sent as claimed ( 20% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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No Jedi Mind Tricks songs (as featured or main artist) on Sunfly Karaoke ( 80% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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No Jedi Mind Tricks songs (as main artist) on Sunfly Karaoke website ( 85% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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It was from that person ( 85% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17.
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CJ or HM or JB at P ( 35% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-03-17.
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R does 5th ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-03-17.
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B-S I illegal under UK law conditional on agreement in judging this of prediction setters ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-03-17.
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BK see R & T ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-17; known on 2015-03-17; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-03-17.
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I see S at P ( 25% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-06; known on 2015-03-07; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-10.
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Bruce Lee died at conventional age thirty-one ( 15% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Bruce Lee died at conventional age thirty ( 60% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Bruce Lee died at conventional age 29, 30, or 31 ( 80% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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I will test the appropriate n-rep maxima for all the Ice Cream exercises I can do this for at the gym by 11:00 (in about six hours) ( 55% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-10.
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University was founded in or after 1960 ( 90% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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I will get my full deposit back from my current landlord ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-09-01; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-08-16.
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Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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As was on Songs in the Key of Life ( 70% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Amaterasu, Susasnoo, Tsukuyomi siblings ( 60% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Neji swastika is left-facing ( 80% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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The swastika on Ichigo's original bankai is opposite-facing to the Nazi one, conditional on orientation not seeming obviously inconsistent when checking ( 64% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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A video is uploaded to /user/SenpaiKush which has upload date lying in March 2015 ( 56% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-04-01; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-22.
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(Abraham Lincoln born in then-Illinois) or (Abraham Lincoln born in place in now-Illinois) ( 65% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Stevie Wonder born in New York state ( 40% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Big Mac + medium fries + medium diet coke has <1000 kcal conditional on figure given on UK website ( 67% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Conditional on figure being given on UK website, 200 or less calories in medium Maccy D's fries ( 30% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Gordon Brown has unambiguously brown eyes ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05.
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David Cameron has unambiguously brown eyes ( 80% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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There's a dance sequence in the Savoy Ballroom in that Malcolm X film, conditional on that film existing as I think it does ( 83% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Obama six foot or taller ( 66% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Tom Odell between 27 and 33 conventional years of age inclusive ( 43% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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That FB notification is that ( 55% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05.
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Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-27; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-03-05.
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Kurt Geiger was born conventional 60 years or more ago (on or before 26th February 1955). ( 55% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-26; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26.
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Kurt Geiger was born conventional 50 years or more ago (on or before 26th February 1965). ( 68% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-26; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26.
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Naruto ended at chapter 700 (as opposed to 500, 600, 800, etc.) ( 75% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-26; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26.
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Kano conventionally 30 years old or more ( 57% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-26; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26.
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Protein and carbs both give 2 kcal/g to nearest whole number in opening section of Wikipedia Food Energy article ( 61% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-26; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26.
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Ill Manors won a Mercury Prize (of some sort if applicable) ( 44% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-26; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26.
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An Academy Award was awarded for Let It Go ( 50% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-26; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26.
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Jasper Benincasa died at conventional age of 93 or more ( 59% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26; known on 2015-02-26; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-26.
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Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-22; known on 2015-02-23; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-22.
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It's in that PS episode ( 39% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20; known on 2015-02-20; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-02-25.
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FMK confirms pre 5 weeks wrt dd ( 15% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20; known on 2015-02-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20.
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BK does hot chocolate ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20; known on 2015-02-20; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-02-25.
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A serves F BK ( 5% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20; known on 2015-02-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20.
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G joins in at swing on Tuesday 10th February 2015. ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-07; known on 2015-02-11; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-20.
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That subreddit exists ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-07; known on 2015-02-07; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-02-08.
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P guy added F FB ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-07; known on 2015-02-07; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-02-08.
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SS BK ( 79% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-07; known on 2015-02-07; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-01.
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I go to watch the Superbowl ( 20% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-01; known on 2015-02-02; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-04.
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Y T response by Monday 9th ( 33% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-01; known on 2015-02-09; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-01.
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Sh BK ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-28; known on 2015-01-28; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-28.
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F before PM ( 38% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-28; known on 2015-01-28; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-28.
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Those three FR's are accepted by the end of February ( 90% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-28; known on 2015-03-01; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-29.
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After seeing photos, I am confident that Mark Ronson is conventionally black ( 43% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-28; known on 2015-01-28; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-28.
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Heart of Darkness in library ( 68% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-25; known on 2015-01-25; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-25.
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CBP sighted at fewest one lecture for at fewest four of my courses ( 79% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-25; known on 2015-03-01; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-03-06.
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T on arrival ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-23; known on 2015-01-23; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-24.
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Conditional on credible source, Skepta inclusively between 30 and 35 years old in common parlance ( 58% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22.
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Conditional on credible source, JME inclusively between 30 and 35 years old in common parlance ( 50% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22.
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Conditional on credible source, David Belle >= 40 years old in common parlance ( 64% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22.
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Will believe SG was at P with prob >= 90% after usual checks ( 20% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-27; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-02.
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That's All is in the book ( 33% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-26; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-24.
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I believe house/flat broadly sorted for next year by my first scheduled lecture/thingy of semester two ( 57% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-02-03; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-04.
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HPMoR: Chapter 104 posted by midnight ending February 15th Berkeley time. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-02-17; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-17.
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HPMoR: Chapter 103 posted by midnight ending January 28th 2015 Berkeley time ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-02-01; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-29.
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Two new-to-me chapters of Bleach out ( 23% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22.
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Zero new-to-me chapters of Bleach out ( 14% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22.
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One new-to-me chapter of Bleach out ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22.
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A or P at P with retroactive >=90% probability ( 50% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-25; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-02.
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S or G at P as confirmed by speaking ( 23% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-25; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-02.
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I go to a west country LW meetup before my first scheduled lecture/thingy of semester two ( 40% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-02-03; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-04.
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There was a mistake on the stats paper ( 85% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2016-01-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-24.
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Conditional on being able to find credible source, Anna Wise >= 26 years old wrt common parlance ( 54% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22.
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Conditional on a unique lower year being given in infobox, CunninLynguists formed in or before 2004 ( 60% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22.
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FT ( 63% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-21; known on 2015-01-22; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22.
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Richard Simmons stated (in page, categories, or otherwise) as non-heterosexual on WP page ( 70% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-21; known on 2015-01-21; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-21.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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I will find SH as a Friend of RN in the next 5 minutes ( 40% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-24.
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FC whilst still 20 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-02-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-02-19.
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NC whilst still 20 ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-02-19; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-02-08.
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CBAB has a recollection of eating something in BK ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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We see Ricky went we enter BK ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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My initial interpretation of that FB story I saw is correct. ( 64% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-01-18; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-18.
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I feel I NC'd (incl. fake) by 04:00 on the morning of the first day of Semester 2 teaching ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-02-03; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-04.
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I will be in London before my first lecture of Semester 2 ( 37% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-02-04; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-04.
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I finish Computability & Logic or decide to move on to a later text from the list by 06:00 on Monday 2nd February ( 53% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-02-02; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-02-04.
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Some set of scales plausibly says my mass is <=70kg at any time by 05:00 on Monday 1st June 2015 ( 55% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-06-01; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-31.