Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Displaying all predictions made by vhistory. Filter by:
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South Africa will beat France ( 55% confidence )
Created by vhistory on 2010-06-22; known on 2010-06-22; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Mexico and Uruguay will tie. ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by vhistory on 2010-06-22; known on 2010-06-22; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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I predict Stanley McChrystal will keep his job until at least July 22. ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by vhistory on 2010-06-22; known on 2010-07-22; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.