Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 38% | 69% | 55% | 95% | 89% | 67% | |
Sample Size | 21 | 36 | 33 | 19 | 38 | 3 | 150 |
Displaying all predictions made by reubensandwich. Filter by:
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6+ pomos this day ( 60% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2017-02-01; known on 2017-02-02; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2017-02-02.
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Trump will not be impeached ( 78% confidence; 18 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by regex on 2017-01-30; known on 2025-01-30; judged wrong by regex on 2019-12-19.
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Politics – President Trump rescinds the Executive Order suspending entry to the United States of Iranian nationals by end of 2017-02-05. ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-01-29; known on 2017-02-06; judged wrong by aseyfarth on 2017-02-06.
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Nationwide school voucher system instigated, >70% of public schools effectively privatized, by US midterms. ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Temeraire on 2017-01-28; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-10.
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I will write additional regression tests for the module I need to refactor before the end of tuesday. ( 40% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-31; known on 2015-09-02.
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Twitter shut down. ( 12% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-25; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2018-01-01.
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I go on an OKC date by February 15, 2017 ( 43% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by ioannes on 2017-01-07; known on 2017-02-15; judged right by ioannes on 2017-02-15.
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Issa Rice will write down a new prediction each day on PredictionBook for the next month ( 20% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by playablecharacter on 2017-01-03; known on 2017-02-03; judged wrong by playablecharacter on 2017-02-03.
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I will have the analytics update ready tomorrow. ( 30% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-31; known on 2015-09-01; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-09-01.
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I will fix the versioning issue tomorrow. ( 50% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-31; known on 2015-09-01; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-09-01.
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I will finish this book before going to sleep tonight. ( 10% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-30; known on 2015-08-31; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-30.
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I will finish the current chapter (second to last) of this book before going to sleep tonight. ( 60% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-30; known on 2015-08-31; judged right by reubensandwich on 2015-08-30.
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I will have a draft of the updated analytics available by the end of the week. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-27; known on 2015-08-29; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-30.
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My older pull will be merged today. ( 60% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-27; known on 2015-08-28; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-30.
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My pull will be merged today. ( 75% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-27; known on 2015-08-28; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-30.
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I will push the pull updates before lunch. ( 90% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-27; known on 2015-08-27; judged right by reubensandwich on 2015-08-30.
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I will complete the proposal tomorrow. ( 60% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-26; known on 2015-08-27; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-27.
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I will write all the required tests tomorrow morning. ( 75% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-26; known on 2015-08-26; judged right by reubensandwich on 2015-08-27.
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I will have to help debug the configuration error. ( 50% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-26; known on 2015-08-27; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-27.
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I will read a chapter before dinner. ( 80% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-25; known on 2015-08-25; judged right by reubensandwich on 2015-08-26.
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I will finish updates based on yesterday's review before 3. ( 75% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-25; known on 2015-08-25; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-26.
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I will have the proposal ready for review before lunch. ( 40% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-25; known on 2015-08-25; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-26.
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I will get a library card by the end of the month. ( 37% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-24; known on 2015-09-01; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-09-03.
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I will do enough tomorrow morning before going to work. ( 30% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-24; known on 2015-08-24; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-25.
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I will do any work tonight. ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by reubensandwich on 2015-08-24; known on 2015-08-24; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-25.
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After a month, my IUD insertion will have been deemed successful (i.e. it will not have fallen out or caused some sort of medical complication) ( 99% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by mad on 2014-03-05; known on 2014-04-09; judged right by mad on 2014-04-09.
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I will complete at least three more pomodoro cycles tonight. ( 70% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-03-22; known on 2014-03-23; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-24.
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I will watch one of my three video lectures tonight. ( 60% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-03-22; known on 2014-03-23; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-24.
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I will finish chapter ten of my book before going to sleep tonight. ( 80% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-03-22; known on 2014-03-23; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2015-08-24.
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I will finish chapter 10 of my textbook before going to sleep tonight. ( 35% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-03-20; known on 2014-03-21; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2014-03-22.
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Get over cold by monday ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by reesarose on 2014-03-19; known on 2014-03-24; judged wrong by reesarose on 2014-03-26.
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I will watch at least two episodes of breaking bad before going to sleep tonight. ( 90% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-03-17; known on 2014-03-18; judged right by reubensandwich on 2014-03-20.
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I will finish season five of breaking bad before I go to sleep tonight (4 episodes left at this time, I started watching yesterday morning) ( 55% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-03-17; known on 2014-03-18; judged right by reubensandwich on 2014-03-20.
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I will finish two chapters of reading today. ( 75% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-18; known on 2014-02-19; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2014-02-19.
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I will finish chapter four of this book tonight ( 55% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-18; known on 2014-02-18; judged right by reubensandwich on 2014-02-19.
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I will go home before noon tomorrow. ( 5% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-16; known on 2014-02-16; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2014-02-17.
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I will go home before noon tomorrow. ( 10% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-16; known on 2014-02-16.
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I will go home before monday. ( 65% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-16; known on 2014-02-17; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2014-02-17.
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i will see bf 2maro ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by reesarose on 2014-02-14; known on 2014-02-15; judged right by reesarose on 2014-02-17.
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I will watch two or more video lectures tonight. ( 40% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-13; known on 2014-02-13; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2014-02-16.
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I will watching this movie by 9 (run time ~100min, imdb categorizes it as an action drama, rating between 7.7 and 8.1) ( 85% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-13; known on 2014-02-13; judged right by reubensandwich on 2014-02-16.
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I will ask the girl I am seeing on friday to be my girlfriend by the end of the weekend. ( 62% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-13; known on 2014-02-17; judged right by reubensandwich on 2014-02-16.
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I will leave here by 11 ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-08; known on 2014-02-08; judged right by reubensandwich on 2014-02-12.
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I will leave here before 10. ( 40% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-02-07; known on 2014-02-07; judged right by reubensandwich on 2014-02-12.
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scientists won't have the same technology in “back to the future” in 2015 ( 98% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jeredcaleb on 2014-02-02; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by reubensandwich on 2015-06-28.
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I will go to the grocery store today ( 60% confidence )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-01-30; known on 2014-01-31; judged right by reubensandwich on 2014-02-03.
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I will work out today ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by reubensandwich on 2014-01-30; known on 2014-01-31; judged wrong by reubensandwich on 2014-02-03.
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Slate Star Codex will get more hits in 2014 than in 2013. ( 87% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2014-01-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-01-10.
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Slate Star Codex will remain active until end of 2014. ( 71% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2014-01-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by Michael Dickens on 2015-01-10.
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Obama will remain President of USA at end of 2014. ( 98% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2014-01-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by kuudes on 2015-01-01.
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More Google glass will be sold in the first 80 days than iPads 1 were sold in the first 80 days (which is 3 millions). ( 17% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Mati on 2014-01-26; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by Mati on 2015-03-28.
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Princeton researchers: Facebook will lose 80% of its users by end of 2017 ( 15% confidence; 14 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by RandomThinker on 2014-01-23; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by Mati on 2017-12-31.
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Eliezer Yudkowsky will remain visibly overweight at the end of 2014. ( 71% confidence; 20 wagers; 19 comments )
Created by waveman on 2014-01-21; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by waveman on 2015-01-02.
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I will be doing my 1.5km course with a 30kg back pack by end April 2014. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by waveman on 2014-01-01; known on 2014-04-30; judged right by waveman on 2014-03-28.
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Microsoft will continue extended support of Windows XP past the April 8, 2014 deadline. ( 29% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Omid on 2013-12-23; known on 2014-04-09; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-04-10.
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The majority of people eligible for Obamacare won't be enrolled by April 13, 2014. ( 63% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by recondaddy on 2013-10-13; known on 2014-04-13; judged right by procran on 2014-05-18.
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I will drop out of college. ( 7% confidence; 11 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-13; known on 2014-03-31; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2014-03-31.
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“In five years, oil will be uncompetitive with biofuel, even at $50 per barrel, though oil will take longer to decline in price.” —Vinod Khosla ( 18% confidence; 7 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-10; known on 2014-04-04; judged wrong by gwern on 2014-04-04.