Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
Displaying all predictions made by SeriousPod. Filter by:
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Trump will finish his first term as president. Note: I tried to make this prediction a few weeks ago and it didn't save. I'm a lot less confident given recent events but I'm adding it in here still for the sake of accountability and honesty. ( 68% confidence; 19 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by SeriousPod on 2017-05-17; known on 2021-01-20; judged right by SeriousPod on 2020-11-25.
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Kamala Harris will be the Democratic nominee ( 29% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by SeriousPod on 2019-07-12; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-03-19.
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Republicans will win back both chambers of congress in 2022 ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2022-11-08.
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Democrats will keep the house and take the senate in 2020 ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-09.
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Trump will not be re-elected in 2020 ( 58% confidence; 18 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by avi on 2020-11-07.
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Democrats will not take the senate in 2018 ( 63% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2018-11-07; judged right by lukefreeman on 2018-11-07.
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Democrats will narrowly take back the house in 2018. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2018-11-07; judged right by SeriousPod on 2018-11-07.
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Trump's wall will never be built. At most, very small portions might. Definitely no wall the length of the border, as was his main campaign promise. ( 87% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by SeriousPod on 2017-05-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.
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The Republicans will use the nuclear option to approve Gorsuch. ( 80% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by SeriousPod on 2017-04-04; known on 2017-04-18; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-04-06.