Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by Kshenoy. Filter by:
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At least 120 people will apply for Effective Altruism @ GT's Spring 2022 seminar programs ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-02-05; judged right by michaelchen on 2022-12-05.
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Georgia Tech wins its basketball game against UNC on Saturday, January 15 ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-01-16; judged wrong by michaelchen on 2022-01-16.
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All Georgia Tech students will be asked to go home before the end of the semester ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-05-15; judged wrong by michaelchen on 2022-05-15.
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At least 60 people will apply for Effective Altruism @ GT's Spring 2022 seminar programs ( 77% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-02-05; judged right by michaelchen on 2022-01-24.
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At least one Effective Altruism @ GT board member will get COVID-19 during the Spring 2022 semester ( 46% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-05-15; judged right by michaelchen on 2022-01-16.
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In-person learning at Emory will resume on January 31 ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-02-02; judged right by michaelchen on 2022-02-02.
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All Georgia Tech classes go remote during the Spring 2022 semester ( 19% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-05-15.