Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
-
Bayern Munich will advance to the finals of the 2015 Champions League ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andrew MacFie on 2015-04-24; known on 2015-05-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2015-05-13.
-
Bayern Munich will win the 2015 Champions League ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Andrew MacFie on 2015-04-24; known on 2015-06-06; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2015-05-13.
-
I will get attacked on Tera while leveling because people are cunts. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-11; known on 2015-05-12; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-12.
-
I will reach level 17 on Tera, learn some Python and watch a few episodes of Anime ALL before I go sleep tonight. ( 55% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-11; known on 2015-05-12; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-12.
-
Created by Pradeep_Kumar on 2015-05-11; known on 2015-05-12; judged right by Pradeep_Kumar on 2015-05-12.
-
I predict that Raahul_Kumar will troll this site like he does other ones. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by BharatSucksUS on 2015-05-11; known on 2015-05-10; judged right by BharatSucksUS on 2015-05-11.
-
IEA: US to become world's top oil producer in 5 years ( 37% confidence; 6 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-12; known on 2018-01-01; judged right by RandomThinker on 2015-05-11.
-
Ukip will have over 20 seats after the next UK general election ( 29% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-10.
-
Bicyclist fatalities in the US increase from 2012 to 2013 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by btrettel on 2015-05-04; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by kuudes on 2015-05-10.
-
Distracted driving fatalities in the US increase from 2012 to 2013 ( 50% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by btrettel on 2015-05-05; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-10.
-
I will use all the beansprouts I bought before their use-by date ( 10% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-10.
-
By May 8, 2015, my chess rating on the iPhone app will increase to 850. Don't hate on my fantastic rating ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jesselevine on 2015-04-22; known on 2015-05-08; judged wrong by jesselevine on 2015-05-09.
-
My plane will be delayed longer than 30 minutes ( 30% confidence )
Created by jesselevine on 2015-05-09; known on 2015-05-10; judged right by jesselevine on 2015-05-09.
-
My flight will be delayed longer than “fifteen minutes”. ( 80% confidence )
Created by jesselevine on 2015-05-09; known on 2015-05-10; judged right by jesselevine on 2015-05-09.
-
The /r/theButton will expire in 2 weeks ( 35% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by VoidChronos on 2015-04-25; known on 2015-05-09; judged wrong by VoidChronos on 2015-05-09.
-
Rory would have heard of E.S. Posthumus. ( 50% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-08; known on 2015-05-08; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-09.
-
I win money in total after all my May 7th bets close ( 70% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by rebellionkid on 2015-05-05; known on 2015-05-08; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
-
Following the 2015 UK general election, no party will hold a majority; however, it will be possible for two parties combined to hold a majority. ( 68% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by doxievee on 2015-01-31; known on 2015-05-08; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
-
The average of the big seat predictions overstates Tory seats ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2015-05-07; known on 2015-05-08; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
-
I agree with the statement “there was no shy Tory effect” ( 90% confidence )
Created by rebellionkid on 2015-05-07; known on 2015-05-08; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
-
Conservatives win Thanet South at next election ( 40% confidence )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-12-06; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
-
Nick Clegg will still be leader of the Lib Dems a week following the UK GE ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by RoryS on 2015-05-01; known on 2015-05-14; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-08.
-
Tories win >325 seats ( 70% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08; known on 2015-05-09; judged right by RoryS on 2015-05-08.
-
The finnish government that is formed after the scheduled elections on 2015 will have exactly 2 parties that each have enough members of parliament to force the government mp number to lower than 100 and the government is formed before midsummer. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by kuudes on 2015-03-27; known on 2015-06-19; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
Israeli Election: Benjamin Netanyahu will be the next prime minister ( 64% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Rigulel on 2015-03-07; known on 2015-05-17; judged right by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
The next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom will be Ed Miliband ( 61% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by doxievee on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-05-14; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
Following the 2015 UK general election, a single party will hold a majority in the House of Commons. ( 30% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by doxievee on 2015-01-31; known on 2015-05-08; judged right by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
Following the 2015 UK general election, no party will hold a majority; furthermore, no two parties combined will hold a majority, with the exception of a 'grand coalition' between Labour and the Conservatives. ( 32% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by doxievee on 2015-01-31; known on 2015-05-08; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
The government following the next UK election will not be a formal coalition. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-06-06; known on 2015-05-10; judged right by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
The next government will be a coalition ( 65% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-01; known on 2015-05-16; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
The UK will have another coalition government after the election in 2015 ( 56% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by RogerE on 2015-01-15; known on 2015-05-08; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
The Labour party gain an absolute majority in the next British general election ( 42% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by a0c4a123f7 on 2013-11-13; known on 2015-05-09; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
I will get a distinction at grade 8 ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will get a merit or above at grade 8 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will pass my grade 8 ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will reach level 12 on Duolingo by June ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-02; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
Tories win >316 ( 80% confidence )
Created by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08; known on 2015-05-09; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
It will snow before March ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-08; known on 2015-03-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will make another sling by March ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-03; known on 2015-03-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will read Winning Ways by March ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-03; known on 2015-03-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
More than 3 RDGers will watch WWRY (not including me, or N) ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-14; known on 2015-03-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will buy a Oneplus ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-20; known on 2015-03-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will overtake J in Duolingo points by the end of March. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-07; known on 2015-04-01; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will get into the UNIQ summer school for CS. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-12; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
I will get into the UNIQ summer school for Maths. ( 10% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-02-12; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-05-08.
-
Ukip will get the highest amount of seats next General Election ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-04; known on 2015-06-16; judged wrong by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
-
No party will achieve an overall majority in the House of Commons in the May 2015 general election ( 83% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by doxievee on 2015-01-03; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
-
At least one English or Welsh incumbent currently on >10% majority will be unseated at the election. ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2015-02-21; known on 2015-05-07; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
-
Lib Dems win at most 5 MPs at the next election. ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-10-12; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.
-
UKIP wins at least 9 MPs at the next election ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-10-12; known on 2015-05-07; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2015-05-08.