Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 29% | 100% | 25% | 100% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
Displaying all predictions made by Gerrit. Filter by:
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the new overridable URL field will cause problems with caching (esp. static caching) ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Gerrit on 2009-01-22; known on 2009-01-26; judged wrong by Gerrit on 2009-01-30.
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Three weeks for Urban will turn out to be optimistic ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-07-23; known on 2008-08-13.
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Anonymous users will take Gerrit more than 4 hours ( 72% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-19; judged right by Glenn on 2009-09-28.
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Anonymous users will take Gerrit more than 8 hours ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-19; judged right by Glenn on 2009-09-28.
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Apophis will not hit earth ( 97% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-08-25; known on 2029-05-16; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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I will get an email ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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I will get an email ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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My quote for Urban was too low ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-07-23; known on 2008-07-24; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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I'll be able to convince Westpac to handle Ruth's account changes without going to the branch ( 48% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-07-15; known on 2008-07-21; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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1AUD will be worth greater than 1USD before the year is out ( 61% confidence; 5 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2009-01-01; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-01-08.
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Glenn will get bored of posting bogus predictions in 2 weeks ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-30; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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PBook will become a fun way of sending messages to friends. ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2009-01-22; judged right by Lina on 2009-05-14.
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Ferret will not fail until friday ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-07-23; known on 2008-07-25; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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We will finish user accounts by 5pm ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-01; known on 2008-08-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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pbook will not be released to the web by xmas 08 ( 54% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Trainor on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-12-30; judged right by Matt on 2009-01-14.
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The world will not end when the LHC is activated ( 99% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-04; known on 2008-07-08; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Obama will be the next US president. ( 74% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-29; known on 2008-11-08; judged right by Glenn on 2008-11-05.