Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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Bath #12: Eliezer born in 1979 ( 92% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #15: The endowment given on Wikipedia for the endowment of the University of Bath is greater than or equal to £317.2 million. ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #9: The earliest edit on the Wikipedia article for sudoku was on or before 1st January 2005 ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #15: The endowment given on Wikipedia for the endowment of the University of Bath is greater than or equal to £317.2 million. ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #14: Wikipedia: Electron discovered by or on 31st December 1923 ( 47% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #14: Wikipedia: Electron discovered by or on 31st December 1923 ( 47% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #13: An 'English' mile, to four decimal places, is 1.6034km (Wikipedia) ( 27% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #13: An 'English' mile, to four decimal places, is 1.6034km (Wikipedia) ( 27% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #12: Eliezer born in 1979 ( 92% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #12: Eliezer born in 1979 ( 92% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #11: The battery amount given on Wikipedia in the infobox for the Samsung Galaxy S3 is greater or equal to 3700mAh ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #11: The battery amount given on Wikipedia in the infobox for the Samsung Galaxy S3 is greater or equal to 3700mAh ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #10: The UK infant mortality rate is less than or equal to 1.36 per 1000 according to the CIA World Factbook ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #10: The UK infant mortality rate is less than or equal to 1.36 per 1000 according to the CIA World Factbook ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #9: The earliest edit on the Wikipedia article for sudoku was on or before 1st January 2005 ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #8: Elizabeth II was born in 1926 ( 74% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #8: Elizabeth II was born in 1926 ( 74% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #7: The Young's modulus of steel given in the infobox on Wikipedia is less than or equal to 140GPa ( 49% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #7: The Young's modulus of steel given in the infobox on Wikipedia is less than or equal to 140GPa ( 49% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #6: The number of letters in the Cyrillic alphabet is less than or equal to 30 ( 39% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #6: The number of letters in the Cyrillic alphabet is less than or equal to 30 ( 39% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #5: Virginia Woolf's lifespan is less than or equal to 45 years going by calendar ( 45% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #5: Virginia Woolf's lifespan is less than or equal to 45 years going by calendar ( 45% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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The highest figure give on the Wikipedia article in the infobox for the length of the Nile is less than or equal to 3100.9km ( 52% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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The highest figure give on the Wikipedia article in the infobox for the length of the Nile is less than or equal to 3100.9km ( 52% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #3: An even number of elements have been found/synthesised ( 57% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #3: An even number of elements have been found/synthesised ( 57% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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The density of water under standard conditions is >=1kg per litre ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #1 Wladimir Klitchsko's mass is <= 110kg ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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The density of water under standard conditions is >=1kg per litre ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged wrong by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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Bath #1 Wladimir Klitchsko's mass is <= 110kg ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-19; known on 2014-10-19; judged right by Jackercrack on 2014-10-21.
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I will have reached a streak of at least 14 on my HabitRPG daily for making predictions on predictionbook at least once by end of October. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by tylercurtis on 2014-09-21; known on 2014-11-01; judged wrong by tylercurtis on 2014-11-02.
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I will have reached a streak of at least 14 on my HabitRPG daily for making predictions on predictionbook at least once by end of October. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by tylercurtis on 2014-09-21; known on 2014-11-01; judged wrong by tylercurtis on 2014-11-02.
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There are unlocks in ToME4 that are unlocked via the Arena mode. ( 30% confidence )
Created by tylercurtis on 2014-10-17; known on 2014-10-17; judged wrong by tylercurtis on 2014-10-17.
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I will do between 60 and 80 pomodoros in April of 2014 ( 70% confidence )
Created by from3004 on 2014-04-16; known on 2014-05-01; judged wrong by from3004 on 2014-10-16.
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When I finish my alcohol and mathematical creativity experiments, I will find that I can solve 10+% more problems under the influence of some dosage of alcohol than sober ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by from3004 on 2014-04-16; known on 2014-10-16; judged wrong by from3004 on 2014-10-16.
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When I finish my alcohol and mathematical creativity experiments, I will find that I can solve 10+% fewer problems under the influence of some dosage of alcohol than sober ( 38% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by from3004 on 2014-04-16; known on 2014-10-16; judged wrong by from3004 on 2014-10-16.
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Created by from3004 on 2014-04-16; known on 2014-10-16; judged wrong by from3004 on 2014-10-16.
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I will not do the alhohol/math experiments ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by from3004 on 2014-04-16; known on 2014-10-16; judged right by from3004 on 2014-10-16.
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Thursday 16th: No flakage, conditional on text as discussed. ( 69% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-12; known on 2014-10-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-16.
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Monica will live in a different zipcode in 2014. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by freyley on 2009-10-15; known on 2014-10-15; judged right by freyley on 2014-10-15.
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'collinear' is a recognized spelling on Wiktionary (possibly e.g. British English). ( 85% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-14; known on 2014-10-14; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-14.
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We'll make it to a year. ( 50% confidence )
Created by reesarose on 2014-02-26; known on 2014-10-14; judged right by reesarose on 2014-10-14.
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I will work out today. ( 100% confidence )
Created by booradleytron on 2014-10-12; known on 2014-10-13; judged right by booradleytron on 2014-10-13.
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I will be on time for dim sum. ( 80% confidence )
Created by tylercurtis on 2014-10-11; known on 2014-10-11; judged right by tylercurtis on 2014-10-12.
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I will be in the process of deleting my Facebook account before the end of 2013, and I will not use Facebook during 2014. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2013-12-17; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-10-12.
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Conditional on us going, someone (possibly including Ross) picks Mr Brightside ( 24% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-10-07; known on 2014-10-11; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-12.
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Conditional on us going. Ross plays Senorita i.e. he does it or nobody else pick it ( 93% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-10-07; known on 2014-10-11; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-12.
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qwerty314 and KnaveOfAllTrades are Miles and Daniel. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Twey on 2014-10-11; known on 2014-10-13; judged wrong by Twey on 2014-10-11.
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qwerty314 and KnaveOfAllTrades are Miles and Daniel. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Twey on 2014-10-11; known on 2014-10-13; judged wrong by Twey on 2014-10-11.