Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Displaying all predictions made by maxdemian. Filter by:
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Kelcey will text me tomorrow about something. ( 50% confidence )
Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by maxdemian on 2011-03-08.
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I will read at least one chapter of a book tonight. ( 80% confidence )
Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-07; judged right by maxdemian on 2011-03-07.
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Lee did not call Bethany tonight. ( 70% confidence )
Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by maxdemian on 2011-03-08.
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Gaddafi will not be in power in Libya beyond 2011. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-10-21.
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Facebook will be valued at less than $30 billion by 2015. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2015-12-30; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-29.