Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Displaying all predictions made by annis. Filter by:
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The US will have >4% yearly GDP growth, for more than 2 quarters, by Dec 31, 2014. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by annis on 2011-11-05; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2015-01-01.
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As of 2012-12-21, the OPERA neutrino anomaly at CERN will not have been reproduced by anyone, anywhere. ( 87% confidence; 14 wagers; 15 comments )
Created by Daniel Mehkeri on 2011-10-10; known on 2012-12-21; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-18.
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'Recent CERN reports of faster than light neutrinos will be found to be mistaken within 1 year' ( 70% confidence; 38 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-09-23; known on 2012-09-23; judged right by gwern on 2012-09-08.