Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
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Accuracy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Displaying all predictions made by doctorpat. Filter by:
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The Renminbi will eclipse the US dollar as Reserve Currency in 2022. Central banks will hold their reserves in renminbi instead of the USD as they currently do. The USD will be No2 instead of No1. The IMF will be the source of data. ( 15% confidence; 14 wagers; 14 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-17; known on 2022-05-28; judged wrong by amadeu on 2022-05-26.
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Zhōnghuá will be the world's biggest economy in both PPP and GDP terms in 2022 as measured by the IMF. It is already the world's biggest economy in PPP terms and 2nd in nominal terms (2015). Lant Pritchett and Lawrence H. Summers disagree. ( 61% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-14; known on 2022-12-27; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2015-07-19.
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Bharat will grow 10% in real GDP terms year on year from 2015-25. That will take Bharat from a 2.3 trillion USD nominal economy to 10.3 trillion dollar economy in 10 years, where Zhonghua is currently.In PPP terms Bharat will be the 2nd biggest economy. ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-11; known on 2025-05-12.
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No fusion scheme will succeed until 2050, when ITER will be the first and only successful fusion scheme. Nothing else will even come close to meeting the triple product, nτT of ITER. There won't be a commercial fusion reactor in 2050 though, just a demo ( 45% confidence; 13 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-22; known on 2050-05-29.
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Bharat will pass Nihon on the IMF's ranking of world's biggest economies. Bharat will be the 3rd biggest economy at GDP current prices in the world in 2022. However, Bharat will be one rank higher as the 2nd biggest economy in PPP terms. ( 29% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-13; known on 2022-12-27.