Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11751 | 16422 | 16888 | 17550 | 31268 | 8024 | 101903 |
Judged Predictions
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There will be more than 3 people at JB on Tuesday ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-16; known on 2014-11-18; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18.
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We will come above 15th in the UKMT ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-19; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18.
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We will come above 5th in the UKMT ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-19; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18.
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We will win the UKMT ( 10% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-19; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-18.
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I will get through to the next stage of the UMKT ( 30% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17.
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I will get at least a Bronze on the UKMT ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-03-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17.
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I will get at least a Silver in the UKMT ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17.
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I will get a Gold in the UKMT ( 50% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-06; known on 2015-02-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-17.
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Legend of Korra book 4: the technology Varrick is working involves messing with bending powers. ( 40% confidence )
Created by Calien on 2014-10-21; known on 2014-12-30; judged wrong by Calien on 2014-11-17.
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My event time is 11am tomorrow. ( 12% confidence )
Created by Calien on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-17; judged wrong by Calien on 2014-11-17.
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My event time is 1pm tomorrow. ( 12% confidence )
Created by Calien on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-17; judged wrong by Calien on 2014-11-17.
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My event time is 12pm tomorrow. ( 12% confidence )
Created by Calien on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-17; judged wrong by Calien on 2014-11-17.
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My event time is 2pm tomorrow. ( 50% confidence )
Created by Calien on 2014-11-17; known on 2014-11-17; judged right by Calien on 2014-11-17.
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HP:MoR: Review-count of MoR to surpass UC within 2 years ( 73% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by gwern on 2012-11-16; known on 2014-11-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2014-11-16.
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No body is found, no murder charge filed, and no confession is given regarding “MP murdering a child” story. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-11-16; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by rebellionkid on 2016-01-05.
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No body is found, no murder charge filed, and no confession is given regarding “MP murdering a child” story. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-11-16; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by rebellionkid on 2016-01-05.
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I will learn to lockpick by November ( 20% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2014-11-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-16.
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Let Me Blow Ya Mind will be the song I'm looking for. ( 70% confidence )
Created by cadda_p on 2014-11-16; known on 2014-11-16; judged right by cadda_p on 2014-11-16.
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I will rate Interstellar a 9 or above. ( 40% confidence )
Created by Adam Zerner on 2014-11-10; known on 2014-11-10; judged wrong by Adam Zerner on 2014-11-16.
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I will be a USCF Master before I turn 23. ( 51% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Will Newsome on 2011-09-13; known on 2014-11-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-15.
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I will be a USCF Master before I turn 23. ( 51% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Will Newsome on 2011-09-13; known on 2014-11-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-15.
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I will be a USCF Master before I turn 23. ( 51% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Will Newsome on 2011-09-13; known on 2014-11-15; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-15.
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Michelle Nun takes Georgia. ( 60% confidence )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2014-10-22; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by NathanMcKnight on 2014-11-14.
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FMK mentions SH today ( 25% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-14; known on 2014-11-14; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2014-11-14.
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FMK says that she isn't interested ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-14; known on 2014-11-14; judged right by qwerty314 on 2014-11-14.
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Bob Dole finished 2nd to Bill Clinton in the election for which Bill Clinton was reelected. ( 89% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-14; known on 2014-11-14; judged right by qwerty314 on 2014-11-14.
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Alex Sammond still the leader of the SNP at the end of the year ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by rebellionkid on 2014-09-10; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by rebellionkid on 2014-11-14.
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R will come to the WWRY rehearsal ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2014-11-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13.
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J will come to the WWRY rehearsal ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2014-11-14; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13.
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G will come to the WWRY rehearsal ( 70% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13; known on 2014-11-14; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-13.
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Conditional on the interview process lasting until at least 11 AM, D's potential employer will treat em to lunch. ( 80% confidence )
Created by tylercurtis on 2014-11-12; known on 2014-11-12; judged wrong by tylercurtis on 2014-11-13.
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Sam and Adam will still be married ( 97% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by xrisque on 2014-11-11; known on 2016-06-16; judged right by ren on 2016-06-16.
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Shanghai is the 3rd largest city in China (including Hong Kong) ( 30% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12; known on 2014-11-12; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12.
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Dallas is one of the 20th largest cities in the US ( 60% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12; known on 2014-11-12; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12.
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Nottingham is one of the 30th largest cities in England ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12; known on 2014-11-12; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-12.
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NC tomorrow ( 10% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-11-09; known on 2014-11-11; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-11-12.
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I get one or more more bits/questions of the stats coursework done tomorrow. ( 70% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-11-09; known on 2014-11-11; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-11-12.
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I go to GE tomorrow ( 60% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-11-09; known on 2014-11-11; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-11-12.
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Maxmaps will no longer be working at Squad on November 9th 2014 00:01 UTC. ( 31% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by eface88 on 2013-11-09; known on 2014-11-09; judged wrong by kuudes on 2014-11-12.
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Sam and Adam will still be married ( 97% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by xrisque on 2014-11-11; known on 2016-06-16; judged right by ren on 2016-06-16.
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I will have done all the homework for tomorrow ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-09; known on 2014-11-10; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-10.
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M will be contacted and mention it to me with regards to my escapade by 10th November ( 27% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-03; known on 2014-11-10; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2014-11-10.
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TB at karaoke ( 25% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-11-09; known on 2014-11-10; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-11-09.
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I will watch Episode 4 of F/SN:UBW before Episode 5 airs. ( 70% confidence )
Created by tylercurtis on 2014-10-29; known on 2014-11-09; judged right by tylercurtis on 2014-11-09.
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AW will be at karaoke tonight ( 57% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-07; known on 2014-11-08; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2014-11-09.
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Conditional on myself, PC or M not doing it, Mr Brightside will be played in 'the karaoke room' whilst I am present ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-07; known on 2014-11-08; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2014-11-09.
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The sun will rise tomorrow ( 100% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-07; known on 2014-11-08; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-08.
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Number Close FMK by 1st December ( 11% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-10-28; known on 2014-12-01; judged right by qwerty314 on 2014-11-07.
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I will achieve an NC by or on 09/11 ( 51% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-02; known on 2015-10-11; judged right by qwerty314 on 2014-11-07.
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Given I do not ask him first, Priest will ask me to play PB before or on Friday ( 14% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2014-11-03; known on 2014-11-07; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2014-11-07.