Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 64% | 63% | 72% | 81% | 90% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 72 | 204 | 299 | 365 | 194 | 14 | 1148 |
Displaying all predictions made by jbeshir. Filter by:
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Personal, Business Interactions – BT has not incorrectly billed my bank account by the 1st of September 2017. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-22; known on 2017-09-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-28.
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Personal, Business Interactions – I actually have my Internet connection being served by BT before the start of the 1st of September 2017. ( 70% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-22; known on 2017-09-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-10-21.
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Politics, Italy – C-Star docks in Catania before the end of the 28th of July 2017. ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-21; known on 2017-07-29; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-30.
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Politics, EU – EU launches assessment of whether there has been a breach of fundamental rights in Poland before the end of August 2017. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-21; known on 2017-09-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-10-21.
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Politics, US – General Sessions Judge Sam Benningfield's standing order such that prisoner's sentences are reduced in exchange for vasectomies is no longer in effect at the start of the 1st of September 2017. ( 60% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-21; known on 2017-09-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-10-21.
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Business, UK – Boots reduces price on a version of Levonelle (including generic or non-branded) to below £20 before the 1st of September 2017. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-21; known on 2017-09-01; judged right by Pablo on 2017-09-01.
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Business, US – Charles Payne resigns from Fox before the 15th of August 2017. ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-08; known on 2017-08-15; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-10-21.
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Politics, UK – Charlie Gard dies before the start of the 9th of August 2017. ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-09; known on 2017-08-09; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-07-28.
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Tech – Amazon announces plans to offers connectivity or phone plans as an add on to Amazon Prime by the end of August 2017. ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-09; known on 2017-09-01; judged wrong by Pablo on 2017-09-13.
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Politics, Syria – No reports that the US or UK governments regard as credible of the Syrian government acting in violation of the ceasefire within a week of the ceasefire taking effect, not even if someone else violated it first. ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-08; known on 2017-07-17; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-07-24.
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Politics, UK – Theresa May is leader of the Conservative Party at the start of the 9th of August. ( 75% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-08; known on 2017-08-09; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-09.
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EA, Animal Welfare – Animal Charity Evaluators recommends Direct Action Everywhere by the end of 2017. ( 30% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-07-05; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-02.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Marie turns barbarian as part of a strategy to neutralise Jillian. ( 10% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-18; known on 2017-08-02; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-10-21.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Marie uses some variation on Eyemancy to neutralise Jillian. ( 13% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-18; known on 2018-07-02; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-05-11.
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Fiction, Webcomics, Erfworld – Marie uses some variation on Hippimancy to neutralise Jillian. ( 17% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-03-18; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-05-11.
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Politics, Venezuela – Oscar Perez found and captured by the government by the 6th of July. ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-28; known on 2017-07-06; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-06.
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Politics, Venezuela – Helicopter used in attack on Supreme Court is found before the 6th of July. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-28; known on 2017-07-06; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-07-06.
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Crime, UK – Suspects arrested in connection to masked men who ransacked house in Robroyston, Glasgow by end of July, and there are media reports of this. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-28; known on 2017-08-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-10-21.
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Politics, US – Congress calls Obama to testify under oath before the end of July 2017. ( 11% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-28; known on 2017-08-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-08-01.
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Politics, UK – Labour amendment to 2017 Queen's Speech relating to the public sector pay cap passes ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-28; known on 2017-06-30; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-29.
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Personal – I identify as nonbinary or a woman by the end of June 2018. ( 43% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-25; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-07-06.
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Personal – I find my wallet ( 40% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-16; known on 2017-06-19; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-17.
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Politics, UK – Someone in a firm or government, including local government, resigns on or before the 15th of August in connection to errors made in connection to the Grenfell Tower fire. ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-15; known on 2017-08-16; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-30.
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Politics, UK – Arrests made in connection to an investigation into the Grenfell Tower fire before 15th of June 2018. ( 20% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-15; known on 2018-06-15; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-06-25.
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Community, EA – Ethtruism.com's affiliated AMF fundraiser will get donations amounting to saving at least two lives in expectation, by the 14th of July. ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-13; known on 2017-07-15; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-15.
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Politics, UK – The Conservative Party announces that their policy or backed legislative plan is now to scrap the reduction to housing benefit for those with a spare bedroom, with the announcement coming before the end of July 2017. ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-13; known on 2017-08-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-08-01.
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Politics, UK – The Conservative Party announces that plans for cuts to winter fuel payments are either scrapped or significantly reduced before the end of July 2017. ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-13; known on 2017-08-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-08-01.
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Politics, UK – Queen's Speech backed by the Conservative Party passes vote in the House of Commons by the end of July 2017, the DUP vote in favour, and as of their most recent public statements are not in coalition with the Conservatives. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-13; known on 2017-08-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-08-01.
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Politics, UK – Conservative Party announces, in some manner, the intent to retain the triple lock on pensions throughout the current parliament, before the end of July 2017. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-13; known on 2017-08-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-08-01.
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Politics, UK – Queen's Speech backed by the Conservative Party passes vote in the House of Commons by the end of July 2017. ( 75% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-13; known on 2017-08-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-08-01.
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Bitcoin at 10,000,000$/BTC (or equivalent in VEF or other currency) on any market where trading occurs. ( 6% confidence; 16 wagers; 31 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-10; known on 2019-12-31; judged wrong by bendini on 2017-12-27.
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Russia compromised the integrity of the 2017 UK election process or either labour or conservatives found guilty of illegally colluding with russian government ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-08; known on 2018-06-07; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-06-07.
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Politics, UK – Theresa May resigns before the end of the 9th of June 2017. ( 46% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-08; known on 2017-06-10; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-10.
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Politics, US – Financial Choice Act is passed by the US House of Representatives before the end of June. ( 80% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-08; known on 2017-06-09; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-09.
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Donald Trump will tweet at least one response during the Comey testimony ( 46% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2017-06-08; known on 2017-06-15; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-08.
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Tech – OnePlus 5 launches at a price point above $550 new in the US. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-06; known on 2017-06-21; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-20.
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Tech – OnePlus 5 launches at a price point above $450 new in the US. ( 70% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-06-06; known on 2017-06-21; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-20.
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SpaceX's Falcon 9 will successfully launch within one week ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2017-06-01; known on 2017-06-08; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-04.
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Personal – I move to remote working from Manchester by the end of 2017. ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-01-03.
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Community, Rationalist – Kernel Project is moved into Manchester by end of August. ( 60% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2017-09-01; judged right by bendini on 2017-08-01.
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Personal – I decide to move at least 80% of my EA donation budget to existential risk charities by June 2018. ( 39% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-06-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-06-02.
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Personal – I decide to move at least 10% of my EA donation budget to an organisation in the animal welfare cause area before June 2018. ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-07-06.
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Personal – I eliminate chicken meat from my diet for almost all my meals made either by myself (including instant meals) or by a restaurant or takeaway by June 2018. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-07-16; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-08-12.
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Personal – I am following a vegetarian diet such that I view it as morally unacceptable to eat meat in non-emergency circumstances as of June 2018. ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-06-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-06-02.
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Personal – I am following a reducetarian diet such that at least half of my meals involve none of meat, fish (excl bivalves), cheese, or egg as of June 2018. ( 41% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-06-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-06-02.
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Tech, Computex – Before the end of Computex, AMD states an intended month for the release of Ryzen Threadripper CPUs. ( 78% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2017-06-04; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-04.
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Tech – AMD Radeon Vega Frontier Edition launches before the end of June. ( 60% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2017-07-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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Business, UK – Alex Cruz is no longer the chief executive of British Airways by the end of June. ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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Politics, US – Donald Trump announces partial but not full withdrawal from the Paris Agreement before the end of June 2017. ( 20% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-01.
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Politics, US – Donald Trump announces full withdrawal from the Paris Agreement before the end of June 2017. ( 50% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2017-07-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-01.
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Conditional on conservatives losing UK election 2017, at least one conservative MP accuses labour of illegally or immorally benefiting from russian influence or being russian plants in some way ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-05-28; known on 2017-07-08; judged unknown by jbeshir on 2017-10-21.
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Politics, Venezuela – President Maduro remains in power through the end of June. ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-25; known on 2017-07-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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Politics, US – Greg Gianforte apologises to the reporter he was charged with the assault of, including an apology that continues to understate things so long as it includes admission of error, by end of June. ( 30% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-25; known on 2017-07-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-08.
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Politics, US – The leaker of the photos of the Manchester bombing is publicly identified before the end of June. ( 7% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-25; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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Politics, US – Flynn challenges the subpoena from the Senate Intelligence Committee in court before the end of the 19th of June 2017. ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-12; known on 2017-06-20; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-25.
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Brazilian President Michel Temer will fall, renounce or have impeachment procedures initiated against him until mid-July 2017. ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Neonblitz on 2017-05-20; known on 2017-07-15; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-15.
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Tech, Google I/O 2017 – Google announces a release of the Fuschia operating system at Google I/O, with the release to happen within the next year. ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-18; known on 2017-05-24; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2017-05-25.
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Tech, Google I/O 2017 – A standalone VR headset sold by Google is announced. ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-18; known on 2017-05-24; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-25.
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Tech, Google I/O 2017 – At least one new Pixel phone is announced. ( 65% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-18; known on 2017-05-24; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-25.
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Tech, Google I/O 2017 – A Google Home/Google Wifi combined product is announced. ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-18; known on 2017-05-24; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-25.
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Tech, Google I/O 2017 – Google announces the integration of an ad blocker, including one acting only for some types or classes or behaviours of advertisement into Chrome ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-18; known on 2017-05-24; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-25.
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Tech, Google I/O 2017 – Copyless Paste is announced as going to be integrated into Gboard. ( 45% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-16; known on 2017-05-20; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-25.
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Politics, Iraq – Islamic State holds no territory in Mosul by the end of the 25th of May. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-12; known on 2017-05-26; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-25.
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Politics, US – Flynn fulfills the requirements of the subpoena from the Senate Intelligence Committee without challenging it in court before the end of the 19th of June 2017. ( 31% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-12; known on 2017-06-20; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-25.
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Tech – Arrests made in connection with the the WannaCry ransomware before the 19th of June 2017 ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-12; known on 2017-06-20; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-20.
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Politics, US – Representative of the FBI states the FBI investigation into connections between the Trump Campaign and the Russian Government has been closed by the 17th of June 2017. ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-10; known on 2017-06-18; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-06-18.
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Politics, US – Special Prosecutor appointed to investigate connections between the Trump Campaign and Russia by the 17th of June 2017. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-10; known on 2017-06-18; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-05-19.
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Politics, SJ – Everyday Feminism shuts down, or announces the scaling back of creating new articles by at least 50% due to funding constraints, before the end of June 2017 ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-09; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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Politics, US, New Orleans – All three of the remaining Confederacy monuments will be removed before the end of 2017 ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2017-05-07; known on 2018-02-01; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-05-20.
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Politics, US, New Orleans – At least one of the three remaining Confederacy monuments Landrieu has announced intent to remove is removed by the end of the 20th of June, 2017. ( 70% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-07; known on 2017-06-21; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-05-12.
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Politics, US, New Orleans – At least two of the three remaining Confederacy monuments Landrieu has announced intent to remove are removed by the 20th of June 2017. ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-07; known on 2017-06-21; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-05-17.
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Politics, US, New Orleans – All three remaining Confederacy monuments that Landrieu has announced intent to remove are removed by the end of the 20th of June 2017. ( 25% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-07; known on 2017-06-21; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-05-29.
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Politics, US – The Pentagon is confirmed to have agreed a lease or sublet of an apartment in Trump Tower in New York by a news outlet by the 14th of June 2017. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-07; known on 2017-06-15; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-15.
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Politics, Brazil – President Temer's pension reforms leave committee, having voted on amendments, to be subsequently considered by the Chamber of Deputies before the end of 2017-05-12. ( 70% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-07; known on 2017-05-13; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-05-18.
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Healthcare, UK – Dr Sunil Idicula Simon is struck off, or the process for striking them off is advanced towards a subsequent stage of review, at their hearing on the 2nd of June 2017. ( 25% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-07; known on 2017-06-03; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-03.
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Tech – SpaceX successfully delivers NROL-76 to orbit, conditional on launch not being aborted. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-28; known on 2017-05-03; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-05-01.
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Tech – SpaceX successfully lands the first stage of the NROL-76 launch, conditional on launch not being aborted. ( 70% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-28; known on 2017-05-03; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-05-01.
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Politics, US – Trump or a representative announces the relocation of the US embassy to Jerusalem by the end of the 7th of June. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-28; known on 2017-06-08; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-08.
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Politics, Brazil – President Temer's pension reforms pass before the end of 2017-05-05. ( 65% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-28; known on 2017-05-06; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-06.
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Trump tweets about the stolen radioactive material in mexico ( 30% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-25; known on 2017-05-25; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-05-25.
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Politics, US – A bill repealing and/or replacing the ACA passes Congress by the end of May. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-22; known on 2017-06-01; judged wrong by pkfalu92 on 2017-06-01.
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Tech – Juicero brings out a new bag design which is clearly harder to hand-squeeze by the end of 2017 ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-21; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-01-03.
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Politics, UK – A spokesperson for the Government states that it intends to retain freedom of movement with the EU, by the end of June 2017. ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-20; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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Politics, UK – A new Labour leadership election is announced before the end of June 2017. ( 40% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-19; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-07-01.
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Tech – Google announces that they are adding some form of ad blocking feature to Chrome before the end of May 2017. ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-20; known on 2017-06-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-01.
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Politics, UK – An MP or an agent of an MP is arrested or charged in connection with an investigation into election expense reporting prior to the next UK General Election. ( 25% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-20; known on 2017-06-09; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-02.
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Politics, UK – An MP is arrested or charged in connection with an investigation into election expense reporting prior to the next UK General Election. ( 15% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-20; known on 2017-06-09; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-06-02.
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Politics, US – 6th District of Georgia is won by a Democrat at the runoff in June. ( 25% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-19; known on 2017-06-21; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-22.
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Politics, US – Tennessee Senate passes bill permitting drivers to put “In God We Trust” on their license plates by the end of April 2017. ( 60% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-19; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-05-04.
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Politics, UK – Theresa May attends a TV debate with one or more leaders of other parties before the next UK General Election. ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-19; known on 2017-06-09; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-09.
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Fox News cuts ties with Bill O'Reilly ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2017-04-19; known on 2018-01-01; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-04-19.
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The Scottish National Party will win the same number of seats as in 2015. ( 40% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by splorridge on 2017-04-18; known on 2017-06-09; judged wrong by splorridge on 2017-06-09.
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The UK Conservative Party will increase its majority in parliament as a result of the general election on 8th June. ( 69% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by splorridge on 2017-04-18; known on 2017-06-09; judged wrong by splorridge on 2017-06-09.
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United apologizes for conflict with engaged couple ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2017-04-17; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2017-05-01.
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Politics, US – A member of the Trump campaign is arrested in connection with an investigation into communications with Russian agents or the Russian government before the end of 2017-04-22. ( 17% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-15; known on 2017-04-23; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-04-24.
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More than 1,000 US troops deployed in North Korea by June 1, 2017 ( 9% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by ioannes on 2017-04-14; known on 2017-06-02; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-01.
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Tech – FaceApp is revealed to send data from USB storage unrelated to its core functionality to the cloud before the end of May 2017. ( 9% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-14; known on 2017-06-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-06-01.
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Politics, US – Donald Trump has a higher approval rating as of latest polls by Friday the 14th of April than he had on the 5th of April. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-09; known on 2017-04-15; judged right by jbeshir on 2017-04-15.
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North Korea conducts a nuclear test within 14 days [2017-04-09] ( 48% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by two2thehead on 2017-04-09; known on 2017-04-23; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-04-23.
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North Korea conducts a nuclear test within 21 days [2017-04-09] ( 51% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by two2thehead on 2017-04-09; known on 2017-04-30; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-04-30.