Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 45% | 71% | 57% | 77% | 95% | 100% | |
Sample Size | 11 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 2 | 98 |
Displaying all predictions made by Rigulel. Filter by:
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Israel will bomb Iran in the next year. (airstrike/icbm etc. launched directly by the IDF or another Israeli entity) ( 10% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Rigulel on 2021-08-02; known on 2022-08-02; judged wrong by Rigulel on 2022-08-03.
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Hillary Clinton to be the next elected President of the United States. ( 56% confidence; 43 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-27; known on 2016-11-10; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.
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/r/thebutton does not get to zero before midnight BST ( 94% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by rebellionkid on 2015-04-02; known on 2015-04-03; judged right by rebellionkid on 2015-04-03.
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Israeli Election: Zionist Union will get more votes than Likud ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Rigulel on 2015-03-07; known on 2015-03-18; judged wrong by Rigulel on 2015-03-18.
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Israeli Election: Benjamin Netanyahu will be the next prime minister ( 64% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Rigulel on 2015-03-07; known on 2015-05-17; judged right by kuudes on 2015-05-08.
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At least 25% of American personal car travel will be via self-driving cars by February 24, 2020. ( 4% confidence; 17 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-24; known on 2020-02-24; judged wrong by btrettel on 2020-02-24.