If the USG bombs Syria before 2014, then by the year 2015 Syria will be a democracy and the two largest political parties will be secular.
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-10; known on 2015-01-01
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% on 2013-09-10
- Jayson Virissimo said “This will be withdrawn if the antecedent doesn’t occur.” on 2013-09-10
- ygert estimated 2% on 2013-09-10
- arichard estimated 1% and said “Rebels are not likely to win quickly even given (limited) strikes; democracies take time to set up; both the main parties being secular is incredibly unlikely.” on 2013-09-17
- RandomThinker estimated 5% on 2013-09-28
- ygert said “This needs to be withdrawn.” on 2014-01-14
- ygert said “This prediction is still waiting to be withdrawn.” on 2014-02-02
- Jayson Virissimo withdrew the prediction on 2014-06-24
Please log in to respond to or judge prediction