Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Displaying all predictions made by predoindk. Filter by:
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Data-centers get carbon taxed by the end of 2021 ( 56% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-25; known on 2021-12-31; judged right by stepan on 2022-01-02.
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At least one war breaks out between countries due to (perceived) inaction / exacerbation of climate change before 2030 ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-25; known on 2030-12-31.
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At least one chief executive of any large fossil fuel / oil / mining company will be assassinated before 2025 due to ( perceived ) culpability. ( 19% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-25; known on 2025-12-31.
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Polar Bears will go extinct in the wild before 2025 ( 6% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-23; known on 2025-08-16.
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The Amazon rainforest fire triggers an irreversible catastrophic ecological collapse ( 8% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-23; known on 2024-08-16.
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There'll be a global average “dip” in the rate of population increase directly attributable to people voluntarily forgoing having kids due to climate change fears ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-23; known on 2020-08-16; judged wrong by jamesrom on 2020-08-17.
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Climate change news related psychological disorders (including stress and anxiety induced by news) spawns a new branch of psychiatry ( 12% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-23; known on 2020-08-16; judged wrong by jamesrom on 2020-08-17.
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The Amazon Rainforest fire makes at least two tribal languages extinct ( 23% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by predoindk on 2019-08-23; known on 2020-08-16; judged wrong by jamesrom on 2020-08-17.
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[Politics] Martial law to be declared in at least part of Hong Kong by October 2019 EOM ( 23% confidence; 12 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-08-02; known on 2019-11-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-04.