Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | |
Sample Size | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Displaying all predictions made by nohat. Filter by:
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HPMOR: The ritual Quirrell mentions in chapter 74 using a rope that has hanged a man and a sword that has killed a woman will be revealed to create a dementor when cast. ( 56% confidence; 19 wagers; 18 comments )
Created by RobertLumley on 2012-09-17; known on 2016-01-02; judged right by Osuniev on 2015-03-28.
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Worm final chapters and epilogues will reveal that 'Khepri' is alive. ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by nohat on 2013-10-29; known on 2013-11-20; judged right by nohat on 2013-11-19.
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“USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran before midnight ET 30 Sep 2012” —Intrade ( 4% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2011-08-24; known on 2012-10-01; judged wrong by Pablo on 2012-10-01.